Ben Roethlisberger dating

See all Ben Roethlisberger's marriages, divorces, hookups, break ups, affairs, and dating relationships plus celebrity photos, latest Ben Roethlisberger news, gossip, and biography. Ben Roethlisberger is currently married to Ashley Harlan. He has been in three celebrity relationships averaging approximately 3.5 years each. His one marriage has lasted 9.2 years so far. Ben Roethlisberger is an intriguing football player. Roethlisberger started playing when he was in high school. During his college days, Ben played for Miami University’s team, the RedHawks. After that, he joined the Pittsburgh Steelers for his professional career. Roethlisberger has been playing for the team since 2004. Benjamin Todd “Big Ben” Roethlisberger Sr. is football quarterback for the National Football League’s Pittsburgh Steelers. Roethlisberger was the 11 th overall pick in the first round of the 2004 NFL Draft. In his early professional career, Big Ben earned the AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award in 2004 and went on to become the youngest winning Super Bowl quarterback in the history ... Roethlisberger Tried to Shield Ashley From the Public Eye When They Started Dating In April 2011, Roethlisberger was ready to open up — and he did so to Ed Bouchette of thePittsburgh Post-Gazette . Ben Roethlisberger Bio; Parents, Education, Height, Weight. Benjamin Todd Roethlisberger Sr. was born on 2 nd March 1982 to parents Kenneth Todd Roethlisberger and Ida Jane Foust.He grew up along with a brother Bob and a sister named Carlee Roethlisberger in Lima, Ohio and later moved to Findlay.. Roethlisberger pursued his high school education at Findlay High School. On 2-3-1982 Ben Roethlisberger (nickname: Big Ben) was born in Lima, Ohio, United States. He made his 32 million dollar fortune with Pittsburgh Steelers, Miami . The American Football player is married to , his starsign is Pisces and he is now 38 years of age. Relationships. Ben Roethlisberger has been in a relationship with Missy Peregrym (2007 - 2008).. About. Ben Roethlisberger is a 38 year old American Football (American) Player. Born on 2nd March, 1982 in Lima, Ohio, United States, he is famous for Youngest starting QB ever to win the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh Steelers All-Time Leader (Career Wins, Passing Touchdowns, Pass Attempts, Pass ... Ben Roethlisberger’s wife is described as a star athlete in her high school years by Sally Hiers. Her volleyball and basketball coach in high school said Ashley was a socialite and one of the most popular girls in school. In fact, the volleyball team won the AA championship in 2000 with the help of Ashley! Now, she is a champion mom and wife. Dating back to last season following his season-ending elbow surgery, there have been complaints from fans and media members alike that Roethlisberger was overweight and out of shape and that he ... Missy Peregrym and Ben Roethlisberger dated from 2007 to February, 2008.. About. Missy Peregrym is a 38 year old Canadian Actress. Born Melissa Peregrym on 16th June, 1982 in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, she is famous for Haley Graham in Stick It, Andi Prendergast in Reaper, Andy McNally in Rookie Blue.

Some mildly interesting game notes for Week 3

2020.09.26 22:03 vonheisenberg Some mildly interesting game notes for Week 3

Data from STATS LLC
Washington vs. Browns
Raiders vs. Patriots
49ers vs. Giants
Texans vs. Steelers
Rams vs. Bills
Titans vs. Vikings
Bengals vs. Eagles
Bears vs. Falcons
Panthers vs. Chargers
Jets vs. Colts
Bucs vs. Broncos
Lions vs. Cardinals
Cowboys vs. Seahawks
Packers vs. Saints
Chiefs vs. Ravens
submitted by vonheisenberg to nfl [link] [comments]


2020.09.20 18:28 BlindManBaldwin Game Thread: Denver Broncos (0-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)

WEEK 2

DENVER BRONCOS (0-01) @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS (1-0)
SCORE
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FINAL
0 3 11 7
7 10 0 9
Q1 Scoring:
4:23 - James Connor 2-yard TD Rush [PAT good]
Q2 Scoring:
12:07 - Brandon McManus 49-yard FG
6:23 - Claypool 84-yard TD rec (Ben Roethlisberger) [PAT good]
:39 - Chris Boswell 20-yard FG
Q3 Scoring:
8:00 - Brandon McManus 28-yard FG
1:07 - Noah Fant 20-yard TD (Jeff Driskel) [2PC good]
Q4 Scoring:
11:26 - Diante Johnson 30-yard TD rec (Ben Roethlisberger) [PAT good]
10:01 - Safety
7:43 - Melvin Gordon 16-yard TD rec (Jeff Driskel) [PAT good]

WEATHEBROADCAST

*11:00 MT/12:00 CT/1:00 ET/10:00 ET/5:00 GMT @ Heinz Field
Weather: 62f, sunny, 7 MPH winds
  • TV: Greg Gumbel, Rich Gannon and Jay Feely
  • Local Radio (KOA - 850 AM/94.1 FM & The Fox - 103.5 FM: Dave Logan, Rick Lewis, Susie Wargin)
Stream: /nflstreams
KOA link only works on desktop, not mobile.

INJURY

DEN Injury Report PIT Injury Report
DEN Inactivtes PIT Inactives

FAST FACTS

From PotRoastBoobs
  • The Broncos own a 15-8-1 (.646) all-time regular-season record against the Steelers.
  • The Broncos have won four of the last five games against the Steelers, including two playoff wins (2011 Wild Card game, 2015 Divisional Round). Four of those five games were decided by seven points or less.
  • Drew Lock can become the first Broncos QB since Peyton Manning in 2014 to record four consecutive games with a QB rating greater than 90.0.
  • Five-time Pro Bowl defensive end Jurrell Casey, who recorded six tackles (3 solo) and two pass deflections in his Broncos debut against Tennessee in Week 1, needs one tackle to reach 500 for his career (would join Calais Campbell, Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh as active defensive lineman with 500 tackles).
  • Brandon McManus needs one field goal to pass Matt Prater (141) for third all-time in team history.
  • Lloyd Cushenberry III became the second rookie center (J.D. Walton, 2010) and 12th rookie offensive linemen in team history to start in Week 1. Cushenberry played all 59 of the team’s offensive snaps in Week 1.
  • No team has blocked more kicks (six) than Denver since 2018. Shelby Harris blocked his second career field goal attempt against Tennessee in Week 1.

TEAM CONNECTIONS

From PotRoastBoobs
  • Broncos LB Mark Barron appeared in 15 games (9 starts) with the Steelers in 2019.
  • Prior to Week 4, Broncos TE Nick Vannett was traded from Seattle to Pittsburgh and saw action in 13 games (6 starts) in 2019 for the Steelers.
  • Broncos OL Coach Mike Munchak served as Steelers’ offensive line coach for four seasons (2014-18).

RANDOM THOUGHTS

AROUND THE AFC WEST

Team Opp. Date Time/Score
KC @ LAC 9/20 2:25
LAC KC 9/20 2:25
LV NO 9/21 6:15

THREAD NOTES

This thread is specifically geared toward Broncos fans.
Sort by new for the most recent comments.
Pick your flair in the sidebar.
Subscribe to /denverbroncos
submitted by BlindManBaldwin to DenverBroncos [link] [comments]


2020.09.20 05:55 BlindManBaldwin Pre Game Thread: Denver Broncos (0-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)

WEEK 2

DENVER BRONCOS (0-01) @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS (1-0)

STATS

Offense
Stats
Points 14 26
Yards 323 349
Y/P 5.5 5.5
TO 1 1
PYds 216 208
PTDs 1 3
INTs 0 0
NY/A 6.5 6.1
CMP% 66.6% 65.6%
RYds 107 141
RTDs 1 0
YA 4.1 4.7
Defense
Stats
Points 16 16
Yards 377 291
Y/P 4.8 4.5
TO 0 2
PYds 247 262
PTDs 2 2
INTs 0 2
NY/A 5.6 6.0
CMP% 67.4% 63.4%
RYds 130 29
RTDs 0 0
YA 3.8 1.5
Degenerate Gambling Stuff
PIT -7 O/U 41.5
BMB’s opinion: PIT cover, under

WEATHEBROADCAST

*11:00 MT/12:00 CT/1:00 ET/10:00 ET/5:00 GMT @ Heinz Field
Weather: 62f, sunny, 7 MPH winds
  • TV: Greg Gumbel, Rich Gannon and Jay Feely
  • Local Radio (KOA - 850 AM/94.1 FM & The Fox - 103.5 FM: Dave Logan, Rick Lewis, Susie Wargin)
Stream: /nflstreams
KOA link only works on desktop, not mobile.

INJURY

DEN Injury Report PIT Injury Report

FAST FACTS

From PotRoastBoobs
  • The Broncos own a 15-8-1 (.646) all-time regular-season record against the Steelers.
  • The Broncos have won four of the last five games against the Steelers, including two playoff wins (2011 Wild Card game, 2015 Divisional Round). Four of those five games were decided by seven points or less.
  • Drew Lock can become the first Broncos QB since Peyton Manning in 2014 to record four consecutive games with a QB rating greater than 90.0.
  • Five-time Pro Bowl defensive end Jurrell Casey, who recorded six tackles (3 solo) and two pass deflections in his Broncos debut against Tennessee in Week 1, needs one tackle to reach 500 for his career (would join Calais Campbell, Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh as active defensive lineman with 500 tackles).
  • Brandon McManus needs one field goal to pass Matt Prater (141) for third all-time in team history.
  • Lloyd Cushenberry III became the second rookie center (J.D. Walton, 2010) and 12th rookie offensive linemen in team history to start in Week 1. Cushenberry played all 59 of the team’s offensive snaps in Week 1.
  • No team has blocked more kicks (six) than Denver since 2018. Shelby Harris blocked his second career field goal attempt against Tennessee in Week 1.

TEAM CONNECTIONS

From PotRoastBoobs
  • Broncos LB Mark Barron appeared in 15 games (9 starts) with the Steelers in 2019.
  • Prior to Week 4, Broncos TE Nick Vannett was traded from Seattle to Pittsburgh and saw action in 13 games (6 starts) in 2019 for the Steelers.
  • Broncos OL Coach Mike Munchak served as Steelers’ offensive line coach for four seasons (2014-18).

RANDOM THOUGHTS

AROUND THE AFC WEST

Team Opp. Date Time/Score
KC @ LAC 9/20 2:25
LAC KC 9/20 2:25
LV NO 9/21 6:15

THREAD NOTES

This thread is specifically geared toward Broncos fans.
Sort by new for the most recent comments.
Pick your flair in the sidebar.
Subscribe to /denverbroncos
submitted by BlindManBaldwin to DenverBroncos [link] [comments]


2020.09.16 19:25 PotRoastBoobs WEEK 2: Denver Broncos (0-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)

The Denver Broncos will play their first road game of the season against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field on Sunday, Sept. 20 (1 p.m. EDT kickoff). After dropping the regular-season opener against Tennessee 16-14, the Broncos look to extend their overall win streak against the Steelers to three games.
Game Previews
TV/Radio - Broadcast Map
Game Notes
Team News/Injury Report - Final Injury Report
Last Meeting
Notable Team Connections
Please check back throughout the week as I’ll update the news/injury report daily.
submitted by PotRoastBoobs to DenverBroncos [link] [comments]


2020.08.28 20:57 d1dOnly [OC] When Each Team Last Won A Game Without Their Current Starting QB

With less than 2 weeks until the season started I figured I could look at the last time each team won a game without their current starting QB. Here goes:
Team Current Starting QB Date Of Last in With Different QB Starting QB
Cincinnati Joe Burrow 12/29/2019 Andy Dalton
Baltimore Lamar Jackson 12/29/2019 Robert Griffin III
Indianapolis Philip Rivers 12/22/2019 Jacoby Brissett
New England Cam Newton 12/21/2019 Tom Brady
NY Giants Daniel Jones 12/15/2019 Eli Manning
Tampa Bay Tom Brady 12/15/2019 Jameis Winston
LA Chargers Tyrod Taylor 12/8/2019 Philip Rivers
Pittsburgh Ben Roethlisberger 12/8/2019 Delvin Hodges
Denver Drew Lock 11/3/2019 Brandon Allen
Carolina Teddy Bridgewater 11/3/2019 Kyle Allen
Kansas City Patrick Mahomes 11/3/2019 Matt Moore
New Orleans Drew Brees 10/20/2019 Teddy Bridgewater
Washington Dwayne Haskins 10/13/2019 Case Keenum
Tennessee Ryan Tannehill 9/29/2019 Marcus Mariota
Philadelphia Carson Wentz 1/6/2019 Nick Foles
Jacksonville Gardner Minshew 12/23/2018 Cody Kessler
San Francisco Jimmy Garoppolo 12/16/2018 Nick Mullens
Miami Ryan Fitzpatrick 12/9/2018 Ryan Tannehill
Arizona Kyler Murray 12/2/2018 Josh Rosen
Chicago Mitchell Trubisky 11/22/2018 Chase Daniel
Buffalo Josh Allen 11/11/2018 Matt Barkley
Cleveland Baker Mayfield 9/20/2018 Tyrod Taylor
Minnesota Kirk Cousins 1/14/2018 Case Keenum
Green Bay Aaron Rodgers 12/10/2017 Brett Hundley
NY Jets Sam Darnold 12/3/2017 Josh McCown
Houston Deshaun Watson 11/19/2017 Tom Savage
LA Rams Jared Goff 11/13/2016 Case Keenum
Dallas Dak Prescott 12/7/2015 Matt Cassel
Las Vegas Derek Carr 11/17/2013 Matt McGloin
Seattle Russell Wilson 12/18/2011 Tavaris Jackson
Detroit Matthew Stafford 1/2/2011 Shaun Hill
Atlanta Matt Ryan 12/30/2007 Chris Redman
submitted by d1dOnly to nfl [link] [comments]


2020.08.19 19:04 AndyHutchins Madden Ultimate Team 21: Reviewing EA's Reveal Live Stream

In past years, I've been able to cobble together posts with live updates when EA puts together live streams on Twitch to discuss Madden Ultimate Team. Alas, in past years I was also not dealing with the sort of chronic pain and lack of sleep that have been facets of my everyday life for the last five months — You thought your pandemic experience has been bad? This pain isn't actually COVID-related! — and so the inadvertent catnap I took for essentially the entire duration of Tuesday's stream prevented me from doing that much last night. Apologies for that.
On the bright side, given that a long stretch of that video is largely dedicated to the aesthetics and functionality of the "card" art in MUT, I saved myself a fair bit of time waiting for preambles to be over.
Here's a rundown of what was talked about and what mattered most, as I absorbed it.

Card Art Changes

EA doesn't call its items cards. (I can, so I will.) And yet, the first stream about MUT for Madden 21 spent almost the entirety of the first 10 minutes of that stream discussing ... card art.
The new design for MUT's cards, which now has a sort of overlay that covers up half of the card art, was widely panned on Twitter after its reveal as part of the Rookie Premiere program. EA acknowledging that is good. But explaining in detail why the change was made — essentially because last year's card art didn't convey quite as much as this year's can at a glance, especially with regard to specific abilities active on a card — while also going to such lengths defending the change from an aesthetic perspective as creating and presenting a graphic to demonstrate the relative sizes of the art on the full card for MUT 20 and MUT 21 makes EA's team look weirdly insecure about its product.
The root problem with MUT's cards, like those in NBA 2K's MyTeam, is that they don't actually look like cards, which rankles many of the players whose interest in Ultimate Team dovetails with past or present interest in collecting cards. And while the suggestion that EA cannot make NFL-related cards that look like cards because Panini has an exclusive deal with the league to do so is an oft-mentioned (if possibly apocryphal?) explanation for this, EA has managed to get around that in FIFA's Ultimate Team by creating "player items" that have a shield design and thus do not compare to cards, and doesn't have the same problem with its Hockey Ultimate Team product because those cards can look like cards.
I have really disliked the MUT card design of the last few years, as it departed from true rectangular cards in MUT 18 and has not returned, but I also consider it a very minor complaint and genuinely appreciate that this year's art does at least have added functionality. If EA can't (or won't) solve the root problem by returning to rectangular card art and making MUT more like card collecting at its most basic level, de-emphasizing the art and focusing on other things is its best move, as it will otherwise be nobly continuing to throw red meat to a community ready to snarl.

More Presentation Notes

Ability Points and Caps

MUT's system for Abilities is changed this year, with last year's matrix of Abilities being tied to a matrix of archetypes and ratings but only having the in-game cost of Training adding the new wrinkles of Ability Points and Caps, which seem to be designed to both restrict in-game players' power and allow for that power to be spread around.
I think this is likely to be the most important change in MUT this year, and Jake Stein referring to the evolution of Superstar X-Factors and Abilities as the terribly jargon-y "gameplay story" for this year's game and something the MUT team is trying to translate would certainly back up that idea. Unfortunately, I also think it wasn't well explained on stream, as you could be forgiven for not grasping that this is more or less a reversion to previous years of MUT, in which "red chems" could be part of any player's loadout; most players are absolutely going to start this MUT believing that the existing model of three Superstars on offense and defense remains true — which it does, as players will still seemingly be limited to just three active Superstars with X-Factors on both sides of the ball — and it will be a learning process for those players as the year wears on.
I also think that this move carries the potential for power creep in a way that players didn't actually like in pre-20 MUTs. The scourge of defenses with a half-dozen or more Secure Tacklers in MUT 18, for example, was a real pain point in that year's metagame; for all the problems with cutting down the number of superheroic players on each side of the ball to just three in MUT 20, it did address the potential for every player to possess an overpowered ability. And the news that players can now have five abilities at 99 OVR does make it possible that there's some unholy Michael Vick with Human Joystick and some yet-unrevealed must-have passing Ability awaiting at year's end.
I can reserve judgment on this year's system until it actually shapes a metagame, though, and I do like the potential for more strategic team-building tied to a points pool. I worry, though, that this won't solve the issue of Escape Artist QBs and Enforcer safeties roaming the middle of the field being so powerful as to be nearly required while also reintroducing the idea of a single ability being spread across a unit being too powerful. (Stein accurately pointing out that this system does allow for gentler adjustments to things like Eric Dickerson's vaunted Superstar X-Factor than a blunt-force nerfing is promising, though.)

A Review of Minor Programs

A MUT Master Misfire?

This year's MUT Master is Sam Mills, which continues the trend of non-traditional choices that date back a few years. (Stein noted that, prior to Sean Taylor in MUT 18, MUT Masters were usually cover athletes.) Stein cited Mills's 2003 cancer diagnosis and subsequent "Keep pounding" speech and mantra as part of the reasoning, and said that it "felt right" to choose him. And I respect that choice — but I also think it's a misfire.
While Mills was a very good player (a five-time Pro Bowler and one-time All-Pro who also earned all-USFL honors during his time in that league), he was unequivocally not as prominent as the previous three MUT Masters chosen in part for their notable off-field legacies (Taylor, Ryan Shazier, and Pat Tillman). And while MUT shining a light on Mills and his off-field legacy is unquestionably noble, his on-field legacy as a very good but not thrillingly dominant player makes him more like Tillman — a MUT Master who was a must-have player early on and an afterthought by midseason — than Taylor and Shazier, physically imposing in-game players who were game-changers throughout their MUT cycles.
And that last bit also points to the likelihood of diminishing returns on this path of celebrating endurance against adversity or unconventional leadership, too: While, say, Steve Gleason meets what appear to be the current criteria for MUT Master selection better than any other name that comes to my mind, I think Gleason himself would tell you he wasn't exactly a dominant player. Stein mentioning Alex Smith as a possible candidate for this year's honor points to another name that would better for EA to honor than for MUT players to play with. EA isn't always going to be able to turn a Ryan Shazier-caliber player's struggles to achieve a normal life after an injury, and it doesn't have that many options for players whose legacies are worth celebrating and whose selections would be largely non-controversial. (Next year, for example, will mark five years since Colin Kaepernick all but set fire to his own career and in doing so helped open a necessary national conversation; anointing him MUT Master would be a bold and defensible decision, but it is absolutely not worth the blowback EA would receive.)
Maybe the biggest bummer of all for me, though, is that Mills being this year's MUT Master strikes me as a very clear sign that two other bigger stars of the '90s who were dominant linebackers and had significant off-field stories to tell — Kansas City Chiefs legend Derrick Thomas and San Diego Chargers superstar Junior Seau — are not going to be in this year's MUT. With all due respect to Mills, telling the story of the NFL without him is still going to yield a more complete tale than trying to do so without Thomas and Seau; Thomas and Seau would also be more fun to use in game, I reckon. (To be clear: I don't expect Seau to appear in any NFL-related products for quite some time, if ever, in the wake of his family pursuing and then settling a wrongful death lawsuit against the league after his death by suicide and implication of his football career in it ... but him missing is a significant absence for those who remember his era.)
It's worth noting that, at least structurally, tying MUT Master upgrades to Series lists is an improvement on past years' unscheduled post-launch updates, and tying rewards to continued use of Mills guarantees that players will continue to use him throughout the year. But getting those elements right while picking a player who will mostly underwhelm is still a holistic miss in my eyes.

The Dream That Is Team Affinity

Taking a page from MLB The Show's Diamond Dynasty mode, MUT appears to have made Team Affinity an umbrella under which Team Builders, Team Captains, and Team Diamonds now all rest.
That branding, while welcome, unfortunately may or may not connect to as robust a list of activities as is available in Diamond Dynasty: While players can go play Challenges to nab Team Builders and complete sets for Team Diamonds, there don't seem to be ongoing rewards or other reasons for using players from given teams like there are in Diamond Dynasty — and that, not the mere Team Affinity name, is why Team Affinity as constructed in DD is such a highlight of the mode.
This year's set of Team Diamonds also digs a little deeper into NFL history for some of its choices, further expanding the MUT player pool in a way I like and smuggling some Legends-caliber names (Takeo Spikes! Warrick Dunn! Bob Sanders! Keenan McCardell! Mack Strong!) into the game under the aegis of another program. But there are some downright bizarre choices among the 32 (Jermichael Finley isn't exactly beloved by Packers fans; Robert Porcher is a very low-profile name for the Lions; Drew Bennett and Phil Loadholt are both obscure and never made Pro Bowls), which speaks to the difficulty of balancing programs like this across NFL history.

Other MUT Housekeeping

Finally, a rundown on the rundown of even smaller updates on MUT:
submitted by AndyHutchins to Gutfoxx [link] [comments]


2020.07.27 02:33 FFNBot Miley Cyrus Has Been Dating Former NFL Player Ben Roethlisberger Since 2010

Miley Cyrus Has Been Dating Former NFL Player Ben Roethlisberger Since 2010 submitted by FFNBot to FakeFakeNewsArticles [link] [comments]


2020.07.02 18:46 Bipedal-Moose [OC] 63 MVPs in 63 days, part 62: The 2018 MVP race

Hello everyone, and welcome back to part 62 of my series in which I’ll be researching and dissecting every single MVP race in NFL history. Today, we’re going to be looking into the 2018 race. But first, a look at the voting results from you for the 2017 race. 72 people voted, and here are the results:
  1. Tom Brady: 50/72 votes (69.4%)
  2. Todd Gurley: 22/72 votes (30.6%)

2018 AP MVP: Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (41 votes)

Other notable candidates: New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees (9 votes)
Others receiving votes:
The winner: Patrick Mahomes wins MVP in his first season as a starter, the first player to do so since Kurt Warner in 1999.
The race
Here are the stats for the notable contenders for MVP in 2018. Remember, though, that the context behind the stats is equally as important as the stats themselves, so I encourage you to read the player profiles below.
Mahomes:
Comp/Att Yds Y/A TD INT Rate ANY/A Rush-Yds-TDs Fumbles
383/580 5,097 8.8 50 12 113.8 8.9 60-272-2 9
Brees:
Comp/Att Yds Y/A TD INT Rate ANY/A Rush-Yds-TDs Fumbles
364/489 3,992 8.2 32 5 115.7 8.5 31-22-4 5
Note: Bold indicates a league lead in that particular category. Italics indicate a league record.
The case for and against Mahomes
Coming out of college in 2017, Mahomes was regarded as relatively raw with an exceptionally high ceiling. Going to Kansas City meant he got to learn under QB whiz Andy Reid for a year before becoming a regular. The 2017 team was already a good squad that boasted a formidable offense, but in 2018 they replaced Alex Smith with the ultra-talented Mahomes. And when you combine that sort of talent with that sort of coaching and that sort of supporting cast, this is the kind of thing that happens: an incredibly prolific and efficient season.
Mahomes was, relatively unquestionably, the best statistical QB in the game in 2018. His 5,097 passing yards ranked only behind Ben Roethlisberger, just 32 yards behind despite throwing nearly 100 fewer passes. His 50 TD passes were 11 more than any other player, and his +38 TD-INT differential was also tops in the league, meaning Mahomes possessed the greatest volume profile in the league. But he was also the most efficient passer in the game on a surface level, with his 8.9 ANY/A being over 0.4 yards better than any other QB’s. Mahomes also chipping in non-negligible rushing production (272 yards and 2 TDs) meant that there really wasn’t a QB who could challenge him on the stat sheet, and the Chiefs reaped the rewards of his success: they scored a league-high 565 points, ranked 1st in points scored per drive with a huge 3.12 in that category, and despite having one of the worst defenses in the league - the Chiefs ranked 28th in points allowed per drive - they still went 12-4.
The obvious argument against Mahomes would be his supporting cast on offense. On the ground, Mahomes got 11 great games out of Kareem Hunt before video was released of him assaulting a woman, after which he was cut; but even after that, the Chiefs’ running game remained effective, with Spencer Ware and Damien Williams averaging a higher amount of rushing YPC than Hunt on the season. This was likely due to the Chiefs boasting one of the better offensive lines in the game, which featured all-pro Mitchell Schwartz. In addition to an effective run game and offensive line, Mahomes got to throw to a host of established playmakers in all-pro TE Travis Kelce, all-pro WR Tyreek Hill, and even Sammy Watkins.
The case for and against Brees
This is the fourth time Brees has appeared in this series in second place, which is a shame because he’s had plenty of great seasons, this one being among them. Brees got off to an unbelievable start in 2018: in the first 11 games, he had scored 32 touchdowns and turned the ball over just twice, with a passer rating of 127.3 and an ANY/A of 9.7, both historically good numbers; unfortunately, he cooled off down the stretch (4 games, 4 touchdowns, 4 turnovers, 5.3 ANY/A), but the end result was still remarkable. Despite resting in week 17, he finished 6th in passing TDs, and he also ranked 2nd in ANY/A. The Saints, rejuvenated in the back half of the 2010s, went 13-2 in games started by Brees, who, like the Chiefs, had to overcome a suspect defense to earn that record (20th in points allowed per drive) and they ranked 2nd in the league in points scored per drive with a still-extraordinary 2.96 in that category.
The obvious issue with Brees’ case is that he is, all around, heavily classed by Patrick Mahomes, in both volume and, to a lesser extent, efficiency, with that 4 game stretch at the end of the year effectively killing his MVP chances as Mahomes kept rolling. This could, theoretically, be chalked up to supporting cast, but upon closer inspection, Brees’ supporting cast was not far from Mahomes’ in caliber; he had a backfield with Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara, the latter an excellent dual-threat running back. Brees’ number 1 WR was Michael Thomas, one of the best WRs in the league and a first team all-pro. Brees had arguably the best offensive line in the league in front of him, certainly better than Mahomes’; top-to-bottom, it was excellent, with Terron Armstead, Andrus Peat, Max Unger, Larry Warford, and Ryan Ramczyk all being among the best in the league among their positions.

Voting

Vote for the player you think had the best case here after reading the post! Tomorrow we'll review the results in the 2019 post.
Click here for links to previous editions dating back to 1957!
Late edit: just fixed a typo in the first sentence I didn't see earlier
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2020.06.10 17:33 RevanN7 Low Cost/No Cost Redraft Dart Throws for Every NFL Team (AFC NORTH/NFC EAST)

As the fantasy football community looks towards Training Camp and the NFL preseason, some fantasy football players are beginning to take stock of where value can be found in their upcoming drafts. While higher-round ADP players are being vigorously debated across the fantasy analyst community, it’s also important to look at the players that are virtually free.
The late rounds can be a source of tremendous value. While players going in round thirteen and beyond in 12-14 team leagues likely have high levels of uncertainty around their health, opportunity, and/or roles, fantasy managers will have greater flexibility to cut a late-round pick than a player where more draft capital is invested. What follows are some players with a Yahoo ADP of 120+ based on where things stand in early June. It’ll be interesting to see if some of these players are cut, get hurt, or rise in ADP.
Love some of these names? Strongly disagree with any? Sound off below.
AFC NORTH
Cleveland Browns — Rashard Higgins (WR) Higgins resigned with the Browns and could offer early-season appeal, given that Jarvis Landry may not be ready for week one and Odell Beckham Jr. has piled up core muscle injuries over the past few seasons. Baker Mayfield was a huge disappointment last season, but if the coaching and the offense improves, Higgins may be poised to offer some floor for fantasy managers.
Pittsburgh Steelers — Eric Ebron (TE) Ebron was a free agency add for the Steelers, and while that means less continuity, a potential return to form for Ben Roethlisberger could see Ebron flash as a red zone target. Health concerns have pushed James Connor down draft boards, and if those prove true, the Steelers could be forced to pass more when in scoring position. Ebron is a fine choice late if avoiding the premium and middling tight end options.
Baltimore Ravens — Gus Edwards (RB) J.K. Dobbins has understandably been hyped given the Ravens stating they had a first round grade on the rookie. Gamescript may have played part in the productivity of Edwards’ last season, but the Ravens actively retained him with an ERFA tender for 2020. With offseason programs thrown into disarray due to COVID, expect injuries to pile up before the season starts (they did in a lockout-shortened offseason in 2011). Edwards is best positioned to immediately step up if anything were to happen to Ingram, and if the Ravens offense is dominant again, he could have standalone value, albeit with much volatility.
Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) If the ADPs for Joe Mixon, AJ Green, and Tyler Boyd are justified, than Joe Burrow should be going higher as well. His starting job is not in doubt, and he offers a rushing floor (averaged 27 rushing yards/game while at LSU). A week one date with the Chargers and playing two games against both the Ravens and Steelers will mean some concerning matchups, but passing stats should pile up if the Bengals have to chase often.
NFC East
New York Giants — Golden Tate (WR) It’s unclear what the true pecking order is in New York at this time for the pass catchers because they really weren’t all on the field at the same time in 2019. Risk-averse fantasy managers looking for a share of the Giants offense will find that Golden Tate is their least expensive option. Tate’s 2019 was impacted both by a four game suspension for PEDs and a QB change for the Giants in week 3. 2020 may see Tate return to form as a safe WR2/3.
Philadelphia Eagles — Alshon Jeffery (WR) Jeffery is going undrafted in many leagues despite a track record of performing when on the field and healthy. He may start the season on the PUP list, but managers who can take advantage of IR spots should consider stashing Jeffery for when he returns. There are few players available this late in drafts who have the potential to finish as a WR1 when on the field; Jeffery is one such player.
Washington Redskins — Dwayne Haskins (QB) Haskins didn’t do much on a Redskins team that was a dumpster fire in 2019. Now with Ron Rivera in town and a season at the pro level under his belt, he could take a step forward. His job should be secure which makes him a fine late selection for managers in 2QB leagues or streaming the position.
Dallas Cowboys — Tony Pollard (RB) Aside from being a handcuff to a top-three running back, Pollard has a receiving pedigree that can’t be discounted. He caught 15 passes for 107 receiving yards in limited action last season. If the Cowboys choose to lighten the load on Elliott to keep him fresh for later in the season, or if Pollard is a more immediate part of the passing game over new wide receiver CeeDee Lamb, he could offer standalone value even absent an injury to Zeke.
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2020.05.09 14:54 ThePatriotWay Fantasy One-Hit Wonders, Quantified

Using Pro Football Reference data I sought out to mathematically quantify the biggest fantasy “One-Hit Wonders” of the last twenty years. The results give us a trip down memory lane to some of the “what if” players in recent memory.
TL;DR – scroll down to see the One-Hit Wonder charts, player names, and their stories.

METHOD

  1. Scrape all fantasy game data from PFR for players who had game debuts in 2000-2019
  2. Quantify each game’s contribution to the player’s career fantasy total (e.g., in the game the player accrued 1% of their career fantasy points)
  3. Quantify each game performance’s “Z-Score” by comparing the game against all games in the last twenty years at their position, a method of showing how dominant the performance was. For more detail on Z-scores and how they can be applied to fantasy football, please consider revisiting my historical “FF GOAT” series for QB, RB, WR, TE; also visit NBA Math from whom I drew this method and inspiration).
  4. Scatterplot the results of #2 and #3 to find outliers: games where the player not only dominated, but also amassed a bulk of their entire career’s fantasy output.
Generally I was looking for high Z-Scores (dominant games) and high game FPTS percent contributions to career totals. I set a threshold of 2.0 Z-score, which means the player’s game performance was 2 standard deviations above the average performance in the last twenty years – at this level you begin to see excellent fantasy games. For percent contribution, I was looking for anything large – 10%, 20%, 50%, 100%. If this is all too esoteric, ELI5: if a running back had a single game of 300 yards and 5 TD’s, but he never earned a single fantasy point ever again in his career, that’s a “One-Hit Wonder” in a nutshell. His game might be Z-score = 7.00 and percent contribution = 100%. Let’s get to the results.

QUARTERBACKS – SCATTERPLOT

There weren’t many QB One-Hit Wonders identified. Only two players had a single game in which they amassed over 20% of their FPTS career.

TODD BOUMAN – MIN – 09 DEC 2001 vs. TEN – 21/31, 348YD, 4TD, 1INT, 4 RUSH/27YD

Z-Score: 2.06
% of Career FPTS: 29.0%
Bouman joined the Vikings in 1997 as UDFA and basically rode pine until 2001 when Daunte Culpepper was injured late in the season. At the time he earned his first NFL start, he only had 17 career attempts, completing 12 for 204YD/2TD/1INT. Bouman’s statline (above) earned the Vikings their final win of the 2001 season en route to a 5-11 record. As reported by ESPN, Minnesota Head Coach Dennis Green didn’t announce Bouman as the starter until mid-1st Quarter of the game, when the Vikings earned their first possession. Bouman later hopped between several franchises, starting only six more games in his career, but none as sexy as his breakout debut.

MATT FLYNN – GB – 01 JAN 2012 vs. DET – 31/44, 480YD, 6TD, 1INT

Z-Score: 3.07
% of Career FPTS: 26.8%
The Packers had a 14-1 record going into the final week and opted to inactivate Aaron Rodgers for safety, having already secured a 1st Round playoff bye. In stepped Matt Flynn, who in his first four seasons as a Packer only had one start under his belt. It’s New Year’s Day. Flynn set (and still owns) Packers single-game records for passing yards and passing TDs (statline above), no biggie! Aaron Rodgers has subsequently tied each record in 2013 and 2014, respectively. Flynn jumped around to a few other franchises and later returned to do some starting work for the Packers, but his NYD 2012 performance is his magnum opus.

TIGHT ENDS – SCATTERPLOT

Tight ends are tricky, because the average fantasy game performance is significantly weaker than those of their RB/WR counterparts. It’s necessary to increase the threshold of Z-Scores to at least 3.0, and even still, there are not many players upon whom to remark. Both players are still “too soon to call” but I’ll highlight them:

TJ HOCKENSON – DET – 08 SEP 2019 @ ARI – 6/131YD/1TD

Z-Score: 3.25
% of Career FPTS: 39.2%
Obviously “too soon to call” for a player of his draft capital, this tantalizing breakout performance (statline above) had people cementing him as a #1 TE dynasty asset. His production crumbled for the rest of the 2019 season, and questions remain. If he stopped playing football today, I’d call him a shoo-in for the “One-Hit Wonder” TE hall of fame.

BLAKE JARWIN – DAL – 30 DEC 2018 @ NYG – 7/119YD/3TD

Z-Score: 5.64
% of Career FPTS: 29.0%
Also “too soon to call”, but this is an obvious outlier performance from Jarwin. In the Week 17 division matchup, Jarwin’s heroics (statline above) helped lift the Cowboys to a victory, elevating them to the 4th seed in the NFC playoff race, allowing for a home matchup in the following week’s Wild Card round.

WIDE RECEIVERS – SCATTERPLOT

There were a dozen WR who earned 30%+ of their career FPTS totals in a single game. None was outright mind-blowing, but there are some interesting nuggets. First is “too soon to call” Miami Dolphin Preston Williams, whose 5/72YD/2TD line during the 2019 Week 9 matchup against the Jets racked up a Z-Score of 2.26 and amassed 32.7% of his career-to-date FPTS. The others, sorted by the percent of career FPTS amassed in the game:

DAVID GETTIS – CAR – 24 OCT 2010 vs. SF – 8/125YD/2TD

Z-Score: 3.17
% of Career FPTS 35.0%
The track star coming out of high school in California, and via Baylor, was a 2010 rookie for the Panthers. He was involved essentially immediately, having 5-6 targets in each of his first four games played. Then in Week 7 he dusted the San Francisco defense (statline above). After that, he was only really fantasy-relevant in Week 11 in which he caught a deep ball up the left side and outran a defender for an 88-yard score. While the speedster had promise, an ACL tear in 2011 was his NFL downfall, and he played his last snaps in 2012.

FRISMAN JACKSON – CLE – 11 SEP 2005 vs. CIN – 8/128YD/1TD

Z-Score: 2.19
% of Career FPTS: 35.2%
Frisman was a 2002 UDFA pickup by the Cleveland Browns. For three seasons, he was fantasy irrelevant. Then in 2005 Week 1, a home opener against Cincinnati, he put up the statline above which included a 68-yard TD catch and run. It was his first, and last, NFL touchdown.

SYLVESTER MORRIS – KC – 17 SEP 2000 vs. SD – 6/112YD/3TD

Z-Score: 3.98
% of Career FPTS: 36.0%
“Sly-Mo” was the 21st overall selection in the 2000 NFL Draft by the Kansas City Chiefs. His rookie season was full of targets (105), but he only totaled 48 receptions and 3TD. His first start at Arrowhead Stadium was a blockbuster, in which he posted the above statline. Regrettably, Morris suffered a string of knee injuries that left him unable to play any NFL games after his first year. Morris briefly discusses his amazing day in Kansas City on this podcast.

SEYI AJIROTUTU – SD – 07 NOV 2010 @ HOU – 4/111YD/2TD

Z-Score: 2.93
% of Career FPTS: 38.2%
The 2010 UDFA out of Fresno State was picked up by the Chargers and began his career in Week 7, catching a few balls, and continuing that pace into Week 8. In Week 9, Seyi balled out, posting the above statline which included a 1st Quarter 55-yard TD reception, and a 4th Quarter go-ahead 28-yard TD reception. In the TV highlights of this game, Rich Eisen and Deion Sanders crack wise about his name – “tutu”. That was Seyi's 3rd career game. His 4 receptions that day was his career high, ever. PFR lists an additional 69 regular and post-season games for Seyi over that remaining season and an additional five seasons, in which he totaled only an additional 16/239YD/1TD. A truly spectacular early-career “One-Hit Wonder”.

TAVARRES KING – NYG – 17 DEC 2017 vs. PHI – 2/70YD/2TD

Z-Score: 2.22
% of Career FPTS: 38.5%
“…Save the Best for Last”. Tavarres was kinda a journeyman receiver trying to make an impression, ultimately landing on the Giants. His 2017 season was the only one in which he had any meaningful impact. The Giants were trash in 2017, and it’s Week 15 at home, a 2-11 record in hand. It’s Tavarres King’s last NFL game. He puts up the statline above. The first TD is a nice inside fake double move to the outside. The second TD is a short slant/in, a catch and run showing great speed and vision. Facing two defenders he dives headlong toward the pylon from five yards out, barely scraping the pylon for a second TD. However, he concussed himself on impact, and was visibly wobbly. In the following moments, the Giants attempted a 2-point conversion to tie and Eli Manning was sacked. Later in the game the Giants attempted a field goal to take the lead, and the kick was blocked. NYG lost, despite King’s valiant effort. He was placed on IR, and never played in the NFL again.

SAMMIE COATES – PIT – 09 OCT 2016 vs. NYJ – 6/139YD/2TD

Z-Score: 3.41
% of Career FPTS: 39.1%
Sammie was drafted by the Steelers in the 3rd Round of the 2015 NFL draft and spent his first season as a depth piece. His first reception, for 11 yards, was thrown by Michael Vick in what would be Vick’s 3rd-to-last NFL game (did anyone else forget Vick was a Steeler???). When the 2016 season started, Coates saw more action, racking up 13 receptions in the first four games. Then came his big Week 5 performance (statline above), which included a 72-yard bomb from Ben Roethlisberger while the Steelers wore the atrocious bumblebee uniforms. Unfortunately, Coates injured his finger during the game which significantly limited his ability for the rest of the season. In his subsequent 36 career regular and post-season games listed on PFR, he only caught 11 passes and 0 touchdowns.

JONATHAN CARTER – NYJ – 16 NOV 2003 @ IND – 1/62YD/1TD (*also, technically had a KRTD!)

Z-Score: 2.09
% of Career FPTS: 42.7*%
Carter sneaks onto this list with an interesting performance. In this, his 9th career game, he had one catch. It was his first career catch. It was a 62-yard TD, amazing! Over his NFL career that spanned four partial seasons, he tallied only 14 receptions, never having more than two in any game. *As we’ll see again later, PFR sometimes “forgets” KRTD/PRTD in the fantasy statistics, and Carter also had a 90 yard KRTD in his breakout game’s 3rd Quarter. If we give him fantasy credit, technically he accrued 49.8% of his career FPTS output in this game. Well done!

JERREL JERNIGAN – NYG – 29 DEC 2013 vs. WAS – 6/90YD/1TD + 2RUSH/57YD/1TD

Z-Score: 3.55
% of Career FPTS 43.6%
Jernigan was a 3rd Round NFL Draft selection by the Giants in 2011. Through 2011, 2012, and deep into 2013, his most fantasy-relevant game was 3 receptions for 29YD. Just to give perspective on how hot this guy was. Victor Cruz was dealing with some sort of injury later in 2013, so in steps Jernigan. In Week 15 he posts 7/67YD, not bad! In Week 16 he posts 6/80YD/1TD – fantastic! This was all just appetizer for the main dish he was about to serve – Week 17, in a drizzling cold rain – he posts the above statline, notably which included a 49-yard TD rush on an end-around. A fitting end to a rough season for Jernigan and the Giants. He only played two subsequent games in his career, the first two weeks of 2014, for a grand total of another 38 scrimmage yards.

QUENTIN McCORD – ATL – 22 DEC 2002 vs. DET – 7/182YD/1TD

Z-Score: 3.12
% of Career FPTS: 48.4%
Mr. McCord was a young receiver going into his 15th career NFL game in Week 16 of the 2002 season. He was still green, with only 4 career receptions for 59 yards. But with a young Michael Vick slinging the ball, you never know what will happen. The above statline happened – which included a TD reception, and receptions of 41YD and 60YD among others. It would be the only touchdown of McCord’s NFL career. He stuck around for another 12 regular and post-season games afterwards, only putting up a total of 251 scrimmage yards in those games.

DA’RICK ROGERS – IND – 08 DEC 2013 @ CIN – 6/107YD/2TD

Z-Score: 2.86
% of Career FPTS: 72.8%
Da’Rick was a highly touted high school athlete, and had some success in college despite a suspension from the team in Tennessee, ostensibly due to failed drug tests. As a 2013 UDFA he found his way onto the Colts’ 53-man roster to see his first action in Week 13, despite not being targeted. In Week 14, he set the field on fire, including a 69-yard touchdown in which he broke two tackles and sprinted into open space (statline above). After that? In his final three regular season games and two playoff games he totaled 9 receptions for 131 yards. In the 2014 pre-season he caught a (ultimately meaningless) touchdown, punted the ball into the stands, and was reprimanded by Head Coach Chuck Pagano. A month later he was arrested for DUI and immediately cut.

JAYDON MICKENS – JAX – 17 DEC 2017 vs. HOU – 4/61YD/2TD

Z-Score: 2.07
% of Career FPTS: 115.3*%
Mickens was a special teamer as he began his NFL career, working KPR duties. When the 2017 Week 15 rolled around, he was given more offensive opportunities than he had ever before – until that point, he had exactly 1 offensive reception for 11YD. By putting up the statline above, including two back-to-back touchdowns in the 2nd Quarter, he earned more FPTS than PFR credits him for his entire career, due to subsequent game fumbles/muffs as a return specialist. *This 115.3% statistical oddity can be questioned, though, because PFR fantasy data sometimes “ignores” KRTD/PRTD. If we give Mickens fantasy credit for his PRTD in 2017 Week 9, this statline above would still represent 83.4% of his career FPTS total. In the ten regular season and post-season games he played afterwards, Mickens would record only 1 reception for 5YD.

RUNNING BACKS – SCATTERPLOT

Here things get interesting. There are two major camps: blockbuster RB performances that contributed a smaller amount of career FPTS totals…and “pretty-good” performances that contributed a major bulk of career FPTS. Some are players young in their careers, where it’s "too soon to make a call" about being a “One-Hit Wonder” (for example, 2019’s Boston Scott 54YD/3TD + 4REC/84YD/0TD, Derrius Guice 129YD/2TD + 2REC/8YD/0TD, Mike Boone 148YD/1TD + 2REC/12YD/0TD, Chase Edmonds 126YD/3TD + 2REC/24YD/0TD). I’ll list some of these other so-so One-Hit Wonders who had games with 20%+ of their career FPTS output: Brock Forsey, Andre Hall, Ricky Williams (Colt), Quentin Griffin, Kenton Keith, David Wilson, Kolby Smith, Rod Smith, Mike Karney, Patrick Cobbs, Keiland Williams, Arlen Harris, Quinton Ganther, Ryan Moats, Tre Mason, Travis Prentice, Branden Oliver, Maurice Smith, Cedric Houston, Karlos Williams, Lee Suggs, Trung Canidate.
But there is only one TRUE KING, who was the inspiration for this entire research project.

JONAS GRAY – NE – 16 NOV 2014 @ IND – 201YD/4TD

Z-Score: 5.29
% of Career FPTS: 45.4%
Gray was a highly touted high school athlete, and rose through the ranks at Notre Dame. He suffered a major knee injury in his senior year which hurt his draft stock, going UDFA to Miami and subsequently to Baltimore, never getting an NFL snap. Until New England. It’s Week 11 of the 2014 season and Gray has 32 rush attempts to his name. You know what happens next (statline above). Gray’s masterpiece earned him a Sports Illustrated cover! The following week in practice Gray overslept, missing practice. Belichick doesn’t fuck around – Jonas did not have a carry the following week, and in the four subsequent games only got 20 carries. His time as a Patriot over, he was a role player in Miami in 2015, a Jaguars reservist in 2015/2016, and never played in the NFL again.
submitted by ThePatriotWay to fantasyfootball [link] [comments]


2020.04.27 04:22 Zworrisdeh NFL Quarterbacks ranked by attractiveness

At the Super Bowl party this year, a friend of mine told me that one of the things NFL scouts look for in QBs is the “Quarterback face,” meaning a certain level of handsomeness or masculinity in facial features that unconsciously signifies leadership and draws respect from peers. This sounds like complete bullshit to me but I’m too lazy to google it, so let’s pretend that’s true and rank all starting QBs (plus some others who may or may not start this year) by handsomeness not only of the face but the total body package.
S Tier (Greek gods chiseled out of marble)
Jimmy Garoppolo – I mean c’mon. He can overthrow his way out of however many Super Bowl rings as he wants and always fall back on a career as a GQ model. I would follow this man into a battle against Xerxes’ army. Every Sunday morning this season my wife asked me what time “Jimmy Garofalo” was gonna be on TV.
Tom Brady – The face of a franchise for so many years and with good reason. Dude has the chin you would expect to see on a 6-time world champ, and the body of a man who only eats flax seeds and Gisele. I’m not sure if that knockoff Falcons uni will look as good as the dark blue on him but we’ll re-evaluate when the season starts (if it starts). The only knock against Brady is that he spent almost his entire youth with trash haircuts you would never expect to see on someone who makes most American families’ life savings per hour.
Russell Wilson – An aesthetically pleasing man for sure. Looks good with or without a beard, nice hair, and ekes out a sense of “coolness.” Even looks good when he’s putting post-contract-celebration-sex videos on Twitter with his also-hot R&B superstar wife.
Aaron Rodgers – Disappointed with how little of the porno stache we saw, I really could have envisioned it in an alternate timeline. I mean, can’t you see Rodgers continuously going “oh fuck yeah” while piledriving an 18-year-old instead of being an insurance salesman who moonlights in NFCCG implosions?
A Tier (Can get dolled up for a SI cover)
Baker Mayfield – Looks like a hot bum. Has that “bad boy” look that works better in pressers and commercials than it does in the huddle. Has the look and public persona of an Instagram model and the actual persona of an Instagram model.
Nick Foles – He’s a good-looking guy, but we all knew what his spot was gonna be about going into this. We all know why he commands the huddle. We all know why he has to order custom athletic cups. We all know why every time he turns around too fast in the shower room everyone in a 6-foot radius gets knocked down. We all know why Malcolm Butler was so intimidated he asked Belichick to bench him and tell the press it was Bill’s idea. We all know why he-
Kyler Murray – Kyler is a good looking little dude, but his size doesn’t help his case. Not sure how confident I feel in the huddle with a guy who has a great haircut but probably still has to use a booster seat at the barber shop. I’m like 5’5” myself so putting him higher than he probably deserves makes me feel better.
Dak Prescott – Has a very disarming smile. Disarming in that it apparently takes the hands and arms away from his star receivers. The tats make him look cool, and he has that broad-shouldered build that you like to see in a QB as he leads his team to score 3 times in the 4th quarter while in a 4-score deficit.
Jared Goff – A classic prettyboy if not a little Dana Carvey-esque at some angles. The red California sun has powered him up but much like Superman actor Henry Cavill, his teeth are kinda busted. Still, his girlfriend looks more like Yennefer of Vengerberg than Lois Lane. Bears the dubious distinction of being the only player whose coach is better looking than him.
Ryan Tannehill – Tanny has a good QB face. Slightly grizzled but not so much that he looks like a forklift operator or carnie. Good, strong nose and jawline that I think put him in the “Chad” category. I would definitely get redpilled in the huddle with him leading me.
Taysom Hill – Looks like someone who would beat the shit out of you in a Denny’s parking lot and then jump back into his truck adorned in blue lives matter stickers. Exudes a deep fried midwestern confidence carried by his absolute jackedness. The man is a true swiss army knife on the field, and probably also uses one to gut deer in his garage.
Gardner Minshew – It doesn’t even really matter what he looks like; you exude that much machismo and charisma and I’ll do whatever you want. You put those highway patrolman sunglasses on and I’ll run 4 deep passes in a row like we’re playing Madden. I believe in you that much.
Mason Rudolph – Has a very classic, “old boy” look to him. Maybe it’s the perpetually-styled hair. Maybe it’s the “leadership chin dimple.” Put this man in a letterman jacket and it’s shocking that he’s not a black and white photo of a turn-of-the-century university polo team captain. He’s definitely handsome, and I would definitely smash…him in the face with a helmet.
Jacoby Brissett – Extremely classically handsome. Face is perfectly symmetrical and he wears a beard well at any length. He’s going to be a great leadership presence from the bench.
B Tier (S'aight)
Jarrett Stidham – Has the average-in-every-way face of a true placeholder. Even if he manages to step into Brady’s shoes, he won’t be stepping into a world-famous supermodel anytime soon. Side note: I had a dream a few weeks ago that I was a rookie RB who got drafted by the Pats. First day of training camp I brought my Eagles lunch bag (that I actually own in real life) and Belichick screamed at me in front of everyone. “You’re a goddamn Patriot now!” he said. The point is Cam was the starting QB. I consider it a premonitory dream, sorry Jarrett stans.
Jameis Winston – A comely man who looks much older and wiser than he is. Because he isn't either. Ol' Jobless Jameis is currently floating in FA subspace, which makes sense since his level of leadership rests comfortably at “leading the ball to the defense,” but he can rest on that handsome visage and be proud that the ladies can't keep their hands off of him. Wait no, sorry, it's the other way around.
Dwayne Haskins – Easygoing-looking. Nice smile, boyish features. Looks as natural taking a selfie with fans as he will crying in the locker room at halftime while Ron Rivera screams at him. I can picture him after the game locking himself in his room, laying in bed next to his Eli poster, throwing a football into the air and catching it while going “god, dad is such a dick.”
Deshaun Watson – A pretty average-looking guy who loses points for having a kind of small head. Sometimes it looks regular and sometimes it just looks a little on the small side. Either way, it’s doing him about as many favors as his anus-chinned GM.
Ryan Fitzpatrick – I cannot disconnect this man from the images still burned into my brain of what he was showing up to press conferences in Tampa looking like. Fitz looks like that dude who was always getting dome in his pickup in high school and let’s face it…he probably was. I would follow this dude even if I played for the Tank for Tua 2019 ‘Fins.
Matthew Stafford – Inexplicably never ages. Still looks like someone I’m more likely to see lining up opposite me on the beer pong table than under center. Shocked he’s never been in a Mountain Dew ad, he could move units on units of High Voltage.
Kirk Cousins – Handsome enough but without a beard he looks like a Bible camp counselor. Every time I look into those vacant blue eyes I picture myself sitting around a campfire and singing Kumbaya, or whatever they do there. I don’t know, I’m Jewish. Anyways put some beard on that face and he looks a lot more manly. Otherwise I don’t like that.
Drew Brees – A man who rivals Terry Bradshaw not only in declining arm strength but in rapidly declining hairline. I do have to say he’s very swole for being 51 or whatever. He definitely looks like a guy ready to string together a near perfect season, inexplicably get rocked in the divisional round, retire, and Focus on the Family.
Derek Carr – If you threw a bass guitar on that guy I would guess he played in Korn or Saliva. He looks like someone who would light a Newport in the huddle, say “fuck it,” and go do donuts in the parking lot of the Allegiant instead of finishing the game.
Philip Rivers – I always thought he was very boyish looking, and he still somehow is pushing into the twilight of his career. Whatever look he has, his wife obviously really digs it. I would rate him like a 14/20 which I’m pretty sure was also his TD:INT ratio last year.
Teddy Bridgewater – He’s more “cute” than handsome. He elicits – not only in name but in face – the aura of a Teddy bear, and for some reason I feel this would actually translate to strong leadership applied with a soft touch (gloved of course).
Mitchell Trubisky – He’s fine, but I don’t mean like “fine.” I mean…like just fine. Powerful eyebrows but that’s about it in the power department. Teddy bear face invokes more confidence in the other’s team’s secondary than his own teammates. All in all I would still let him kiss my titties.
C Tier (Lipstick on a pigskin)
Cam Newton – Not an ugly man by any means but his face is as big as a dinner plate. Chin is too strong to the point where he looks like a human Guy Fawkes mask or a bad guy from Goldeneye for N64. Would probably think it’s funny to hear a straight male talk about looks.
Patrick Mahomes – Arguably the single best player in the NFL right now, but everything about him is a little goofy. Not a bad looking guy but a little funny looking. That chop is bizarre and when he has a headband on he looks like a bucket of curly fries you get on the boardwalk. The Marvin the Martian voice doesn’t help. Also there’s something about his body that just looks soft and puffy like Starman from Earthbound.
Carson Wentz – I would love to place my QB higher, but Ginger Jesus don’t do it for me. One would think “he looks like a crown prince” is a positive aspect but then you remember how much inbreeding is classically involved with the royal family. I would not let him walk it to me unless he had a dog mask on.
Ben Roethlisberger – Never been a fan of Big Ben’s look, which is to say the Stay Puft Marshmallow Man from Ghostbusters scrambling out of the pocket. Always looks like he swallowed an inflatable life vest and then pulled the cord. And that beard he grew while brooding on the sidelines last season made him look like a bloated Jeremiah Johnson post-surgery.
Josh Allen – He looks like the kind of guy who’s not gonna be the best boyfriend, but he won’t be a total piece of shit. He’s better than the usual guys who invite you over and then just play CoD all night, but he’s still gonna take you out “on a really nice date” to Red Lobster. He’ll be good until things start to get serious, and then he’ll crumble and run backwards out of field goal range.
Lamar Jackson – LJ’s face is…short. Like, the width of his face doesn’t match the height. When he has his helmet on he looks like one of the racecar or spaceman Lego guys who wear helmets.
Matt Ryan – Scrawny. Weird looking. Head is so perfectly rectangular it’s eerie. Every time he turns his head I expect to see a missing child ad on the side.
Sam Darnold – Looks like the ginger bully kid from A Christmas Story. Every time Trey Flowers sacks him I half-expect to see him punch Darnold in the face until his mom comes to pull him off. He sometimes tries to do the Andy Dalton hairflip thing but he’s so pasty all I’m seeing is (Casper the Friendly) ghost.
Daniel Jones – A true successor to Eli in every way, from looking like a complete doofus to dropping the ball every time an edge rusher breathes on him too hard. The G-Men ain’t skipping a beat. Here’s to the next 18 years of memes that are literally just a screenshot of the guy’s face.
Drew Lock – Looks a lot like a kid named Bobby who played on my pop warner team in 8th grade. But not like an adult version of Bobby, he literally just looks like the Bobby I remember. I can picture him on Sunday mornings begging Elway to let him get a chipwich from the snack shack if they win.
Andy Dalton – I’ve heard people say the “Andy Dalton test” of a quarterback is that if he’s worse than Andy he’s a below average player but if he’s better than Andy, he’s a franchise QB. This is not true for this test; this dude looks like Jimmy Neutron started huffing paint in high school, full stop.
Marcus Mariota – Dragged down by chronically bad haircuts. Looked terrible in powder blue so there will be a reassessment when they show him chilling on the sideline in black and silver before he gets called in to run one unsuccessful gadget play per game.
Tyrod Taylor – He somehow looks different every time I see him. If I close my eyes, I really can’t picture his face without some sort of visual aid. Isn’t helped by the fact that every time I see him it’s in a different uniform.
*Josh Rosen was considered but ultimately omitted as the blurb I wrote about his face looking like “an old, leaning house whose foundation is warping” was deemed too mean and brought this write-up into cyberbullying territory.
submitted by Zworrisdeh to nflcirclejerk [link] [comments]


2020.02.13 19:35 Nifera_ [Lolley] Kevin Colbert confirms Ben Roethlisberger's Feb. 21 checkup date for his elbow. Says team's medical staff has been constantly working with Roethlisberger. "All signs are good at this point," for recovery. Said Roethlisberger could be better than he was a year ago #Steelers #dkps

[Lolley] Kevin Colbert confirms Ben Roethlisberger's Feb. 21 checkup date for his elbow. Says team's medical staff has been constantly working with Roethlisberger. submitted by Nifera_ to steelers [link] [comments]


2019.10.27 17:47 BlindManBaldwin Game Thread: Denver Broncos (2-5) @ Indianapolis Colts (4-2)

WEEK 8

DENVER BRONCOS (2-5) @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (4-2)
SCORE
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FINAL
0 6 7
0 3 9 3
Q1 Scoring:
Q2 Scoring:
12:56 - Brandon McManus 21-yard FG
5:33 - Brandon McManus 29-yard FG
:04 - GOAT 55-yard FG
Q3 Scoring:
11:38 - 4-yard Royce Freeman TD rush (PAT good)
6:50 - GOAT 45-yard FG
2:26 - Marlon Mack 15-yard TD rush (PAT no good)
Q4 Scoring:
:22 - GOAT 51-yard FG

WEATHEBROADCAST

*11:00 MT/12:00 CT/1:00 ET/10:00 ET/5:00 GMT @ Lucas Oil Stadium
Weather: DOME
Stream: /nflstreams
KOA link only works on desktop, not mobile.

INJURY

DEN Inactives Report IND Inactives Report

FAST FACTS

From PRB
  • Broncos lead the all-time series 14-13 including postseason, and 14 of those 27 games have featured Peyton Manning starting for one of the teams. Denver has won its last two games against Indianapolis after losing eight of the previous nine.
  • Denver has scored 24 points or fewer in 16 straight games, easily the longest active streak in the NFL. It is the second-longest such streak in franchise history, behind only an 18-game streak from 1991-92.
  • Courtland Sutton is tied for sixth in the NFL with 564 receiving yards and has the third most big-play receptions (7) in the NFL
  • Joe Flacco is 107 passing yards shy of becoming the 22nd player all-time with 40,000 passing yards. He would be the seventh player with 40,000 passing yards and a Super Bowl win before turning 35, joining Brett Favre, Peyton and Eli Manning, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger and Aaron Rodgers.
From BMB
The Broncos have never beaten the Colts in the playoffs.

TEAM CONNECTIONS

From PRB
  • Colts OL coach Chris Strausser spent two seasons in Denver as an assistant offensive line coach (2017-18)
  • Broncos STC Tom McMahon served five seasons in the same role with the Colts (2013-17)
From BMB
They don’t call it The House Peyton Built for nothing!
I wonder who he’s rooting for?

AROUND THE AFC WEST

Team Opp. Date Time/Score
KC (5-2) GB (6-1) 10/27 6:15
LAC (2-5) @ CHI (3-3) 10/27 11:00
OAK (3-3) @ HOU (4-3) 10/27 2:25
submitted by BlindManBaldwin to DenverBroncos [link] [comments]


2019.10.27 07:03 BlindManBaldwin Pre-Game Thread: Denver Broncos (2-5) @ Indianapolis Colts (4-3)

WEEK 8

DENVER BRONCOS (2-5) @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (4-2)

STATS

Offense
Stats
Points 112 143
Yards 2222 2103
Y/P 5.1 5.3
TO 9 6
PYds 1455 1331
PTDs 6 14
INTs 5 3
NY/A 5.7 6.2
CMP% 65.6% 64.7%
RYds 767 772
RTDs 5 3
YA 4.2 4.2
Defense
Stats
Points 136 138
Yards 2118 2167
Y/P 5.0 6.2
TO 6 7
PYds 1367 1501
PTDs 6 11
INTs 5 4
NY/A 5.7 6.9
CMP% 64.3% 69.5%
RYds 751 666
RTDs 5 4
YA 4.1 4.9
Degenerate Gambling Stuff
Line
IND -5 O/U: 43
BMB’s Gambling Advice: Take the Colts and the under...but I’m not too confident about the under!

WEATHEBROADCAST

11:00 MT/12:00 CT/1:00 ET/10:00 ET/5:00 GMT @ Lucas Oil Stadium
Weather: DOME
Stream: /nflstreams
KOA link only works on desktop, not mobile.

INJURY

DEN Injury Report IND Injury Report

FAST FACTS

From PRB
  • Broncos lead the all-time series 14-13 including postseason, and 14 of those 27 games have featured Peyton Manning starting for one of the teams. Denver has won its last two games against Indianapolis after losing eight of the previous nine.
  • Denver has scored 24 points or fewer in 16 straight games, easily the longest active streak in the NFL. It is the second-longest such streak in franchise history, behind only an 18-game streak from 1991-92.
  • Courtland Sutton is tied for sixth in the NFL with 564 receiving yards and has the third most big-play receptions (7) in the NFL
  • Joe Flacco is 107 passing yards shy of becoming the 22nd player all-time with 40,000 passing yards. He would be the seventh player with 40,000 passing yards and a Super Bowl win before turning 35, joining Brett Favre, Peyton and Eli Manning, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger and Aaron Rodgers.
From BMB
The Broncos have never beaten the Colts in the playoffs.

TEAM CONNECTIONS

From PRB
  • Colts OL coach Chris Strausser spent two seasons in Denver as an assistant offensive line coach (2017-18)
  • Broncos STC Tom McMahon served five seasons in the same role with the Colts (2013-17)
From BMB
They don’t call it The House Peyton Built for nothing!
I wonder who he’s rooting for?

AROUND THE AFC WEST

Team Opp. Date Time/Score
KC (5-2) GB (6-1) 10/27 6:15
LAC (2-5) @ CHI (3-3) 10/27 11:00
OAK (3-3) @ HOU (4-3) 10/27 2:25
submitted by BlindManBaldwin to DenverBroncos [link] [comments]


2019.10.10 20:28 vinj4 The worst QB rating in a win, and the best QB rating in a loss, for every team (2010-2019)

So I was inspired by a reply from Baldy on the AMA yesterday to see how well a QB's passer rating in a game correlates with getting a win. This is what I found from 2010 to 2019. As you might guess, win percentage and passer rating are pretty well correlated. But the thing that interested me most is the fact that a few QBs won the game with rating below 40, and some lost with a rating above 120. Here is the list of the worst single-game passer ratings in a win and the best single-game passer ratings for a loss, from 2010 to 2019 (min. 15 attempts).
Team Player Rating Date Opponent Result
NO Drew Brees 61.4 2014-12-28 @TB W 23-20
LAC Philip Rivers 60.4 2018-12-30 @DEN W 23-9
SF Alex Smith 60 2011-10-16 @DET W 25-19
DAL Dak Prescott 59.5 2017-12-17 @OAK W 20-17
DEN Peyton Manning 53.3 2015-10-18 @CLE W 26-23
CAR Cam Newton 52.7 2013-11-10 @SF W 10-9
CLE Brian Hoyer 52.3 2014-11-23 @ATL W 26-24
MIA Jay Cutler 52.1 2017-10-08 TEN W 16-10
CIN Jeff Driskel 51.3 2018-12-16 OAK W 30-16
PHI Nick Foles 50.7 2018-09-06 ATL W 18-12
IND Andrew Luck 50.6 2012-12-09 TEN W 27-23
NYG Eli Manning 48.5 2017-12-31 WAS W 18-10
WAS Rex Grossman 48.5 2011-10-02 @STL W 17-10
GB Brett Hundley 48.3 2017-12-03 TB W 26-20
NE Tom Brady 45.9 2019-09-29 @BUF W 16-10
TEN Marcus Mariota 45.4 2016-12-11 DEN W 13-10
STL Austin Davis 44.6 2014-11-02 @SF W 13-10
HOU Matt Schaub 42.9 2012-11-11 @CHI W 13-6
BUF Josh Allen 42 2018-10-07 TEN W 13-12
ATL Matt Ryan 40.5 2012-11-18 ARI W 23-19
TB Mike Glennon 40.4 2013-12-08 BUF W 27-6
JAX Blake Bortles 40.3 2014-10-19 CLE W 24-6
DET Drew Stanton 39.4 2010-12-12 GB W 7-3
KC Matt Cassel 38.3 2011-10-23 @OAK W 28-0
SEA Russell Wilson 37.9 2018-12-10 MIN W 21-7
PIT Ben Roethlisberger 37.8 2016-12-11 @BUF W 27-20
BAL Joe Flacco 37.4 2011-10-02 NYJ W 34-17
MIN Christian Ponder 35.5 2012-10-21 ARI W 21-14
ARI John Skelton 30 2011-11-27 @STL W 23-20
OAK Terrelle Pryor 25.7 2013-10-27 PIT W 21-18
NYJ Mark Sanchez 21.4 2012-12-02 ARI W 7-6
CHI Todd Collins 6.2 2010-10-10 @CAR W 23-6
Team Player Rating Date Opponent Result
ARI Carson Palmer 111.1 2016-10-30 @CAR L 20-30
NE Tom Brady 112.4 2018-12-09 @MIA L 33-34
MIN Kirk Cousins 117.2 2018-09-27 @LAR L 31-38
IND Jacoby Brissett 120.7 2019-09-08 @LAC L 24-30
CAR Cam Newton 121.2 2012-12-02 @KC L 21-27
MIA Jay Cutler 121.3 2017-11-05 OAK L 24-27
BAL Joe Flacco 121.4 2012-12-09 @WAS L 28-31
BUF Ryan Fitzpatrick 121.5 2010-10-10 JAX L 26-36
SF Colin Kaepernick 122.3 2017-01-01 SEA L 23-25
HOU Case Keenum 123.4 2013-11-03 IND L 24-27
PHI Michael Vick 123.4 2013-09-15 SD L 30-33
DEN Trevor Siemian 125.6 2016-11-27 KC L 27-30
SD Philip Rivers 126.1 2015-11-01 @BAL L 26-29
STL Case Keenum 126.7 2016-10-16 @DET L 28-31
CHI Jay Cutler 128.1 2013-10-06 NO L 18-26
NYJ Sam Darnold 128.4 2018-12-23 GB L 38-44
CIN Andy Dalton 128.8 2014-12-07 PIT L 21-42
PIT Ben Roethlisberger 130.2 2018-12-09 @OAK L 21-24
NO Drew Brees 131.3 2016-09-11 OAK L 34-35
DET Matthew Stafford 131.5 2018-09-30 @DAL L 24-26
SEA Russell Wilson 132.5 2018-10-07 LAR L 31-33
CLE Colt McCoy 132.6 2010-12-19 @CIN L 17-19
WAS Kirk Cousins 132.6 2017-11-19 @NOR L 31-34
GB Brett Hundley 134.3 2017-11-26 @PIT L 28-31
JAX Blake Bortles 134.5 2015-12-06 @TEN L 39-42
KC Alex Smith 135.9 2017-12-03 @NYJ L 31-38
OAK Derek Carr 136.6 2018-10-28 IND L 28-42
NYG Eli Manning 138.2 2015-11-01 @NO L 49-52
DAL Tony Romo 141.3 2011-12-11 NYG L 34-37
TEN Marcus Mariota 147.7 2018-11-26 @HOU L 17-34
ATL Matt Ryan 148.1 2018-09-23 NO L 37-43
TB Ryan Fitzpatrick 154.9 2018-10-28 @CIN L 34-37
submitted by vinj4 to nfl [link] [comments]


2019.09.28 00:54 SheepishNate Way-Too-Early 2018 WR Class Round-Up

Hey guys, happy Friday! We're into Week 4 now which means we know definitively what the Rest-Of-Career outlook for last season's notable rookie receivers looks like. Just wanted to do a little round-up on how some of the bigger names & hyped up WRs from the 2018 class are faring, and see which of these players everyone is highest/lowest on in the early days of the 2019 season. Please note I'll be keeping this to receivers taken in the first 2 rounds (sorry, Michael Gallup!), but feel free to throw in your two cents about ANY sophomore receivers, regardless of whether or not I've listed them!
D.J. Moore (CAR) - 1.24 - Listed atop the Panthers' WR depth chart and the first receiver off the board in last year's draft, Moore's name was thrown around a lot this offseason as a projected breakout player but is now without Cam Newton for what's expected to be at least the next few weeks. While some think Kyle Allen may actually help the fantasy outlook for Carolina's offensive weapons, and Moore did have a 52-yard TD against Arizona, it came on his only catch out of two targets (he had 24 targets through Weeks 1 & 2).
Calvin Ridley (ATL) - 1.26 - Before a dud 1-6-0 line in a Week 3 game against the Colts where he was only targeted once, the 2018 rookie receiving leader had a line of 12-169-2 through 2 weeks, which would have put him on pace for 96-1352-16 (pretty unsustainable, but nonetheless...). Averaging just over 5 targets & 4 receptions per game at 12.9 yards per catch for his career so far, Ridley also averages 0.16 TDs per reception (12/77). For comparison, last season's touchdown leader at wide receiver, Antonio Brown, averaged 0.14 TDs per reception (15/104).
Courtland Sutton (DEN) - 2.40 - Though he hasn't quite shaken Emmanuel Sanders for sole claim to the WR1 job in Denver, Sutton has still seen 7 or 8 targets in every game to start the season. He's 3rd in receptions (16) and 2nd in yardage (247) among sophomore receivers this year, but has yet to find the endzone for the 30th-ranked Broncos offense (only the Jets and Dolphins have score fewer PPG).
Dante Pettis (SF) - 2.44 - Possibly the most polarizing player on this list so far, Pettis has had a roller-coaster start to his sophomore campaign. A groin injury and a call-out from his coach were the highlights of his preseason, and despite appearing in all 3 games so far, Pettis has only managed 5 catches for 27 yards on 6 targets. However, one of those 5 was the game-winning touchdown last week, after which we found out Pettis had been struggling through an upper-body injury that's supposedly been severely limiting him.
Christian Kirk (ARI) - 2.47 - With 32 targets through 3 weeks (tied for 5th-most in the NFL), Christian Kirk & Father Time himself, Larry Fitzgerald, have been the main beneficiaries of the Cardinals new high-volume passing attack. Kirk leads all sophomores with 20 receptions, but is second on his team to Fitzgerald in both yards (253-205) and receiving TDs (2-0) so far. Encouragingly, Christian Kirk has seen the field for 135 snaps (93%), which is more than any of the players mentioned above so far.
Anthony Miller (CHI) - 2.51 - Maybe the most disappointing so far out of the players listed, Anthony Miller is last among sophomore 1st & 2nd-round receivers in targets, receptions, yards, and TDs. After missing almost all of the Bears' offseason/preseason programs with injuries, Miller is supposedly healthy, but so far has struggled to make an impact. Playing only 46 snaps (35%) through 3 weeks, Miller could see an uptick in volume with Taylor Gabriel out this week, but a date with the Vikings 4th-ranked scoring defense may not be the ideal breakout spot for this Mitchell Trubisky-led 26th-ranked Bears offense.
James Washington (PIT) - 2.60 - Now playing with his college teammate Mason Rudolph at QB, James Washington has continued to struggle with inefficient play in his second season. After being called out by Ben Roethlisberger for key drops last season, Washington has only managed 6 catches on 14 targets (43%) this season and has only managed 2 receptions in every game despite. With Donte Moncrieff's lightning quick fall from grace in Pittsburgh, the depth chart behind JuJu Smith-Schuster could once again be wide-open, but rookie Diontae Johnson's solid showing in Week 3 could put him on the fast-track to surpassing Washington in the pecking order.
D.J. Chark (JAX) - 2.61 - Averaging an impressive 18.5 yards per catch so far, Chark leads all sophomores with 277 receiving yards this season. Scoring in every game so far this season, Chark is also tied for 4th in the league with 3 receiving touchdowns. He boasts a 75% snap count (132) & an 83% catch rate (15/18) so far, and figures to remain a large part of the Jaguars offense going forward, regardless of whether it's folk-legend Gardner Minshew II or Nick Foles at the helm.
----------------
I'd love to hear your thoughts on the 2018 WR class so far. Who are you buying/selling/holding? Who has you the most excited? Most disappointed?
Thank you to anyone who took the time to read this, hope everyone has a great weekend!
Edit: References:
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/
http://www.nfl.com/stats/team
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_NFL_Draft#Player_selections
submitted by SheepishNate to DynastyFF [link] [comments]


2019.09.18 20:26 runt9 [OC] A Statistical Analysis of QBs Against Teams With a Winning Record (aka is Kirk Cousins overwhelmingly bad in this category?)

EDIT: Multiple people have pointed out that fumbles are missing from this and that is one of the biggest complaints about Kirk. At this point I'd likely have to re-do my post to include fumbles, but I'm going to do the stats and see what happens and if it requires rewriting the post, I'll do so. But it'll all be in edits as I don't want to double-post this. Thank you for the criticism, it's warranted!
EDIT 2: I've gone back in and added fumbles! I apologize for missing that to begin with. It didn't really mess with the rankings too terribly much since Kirk falls 12th in that category out of 15, though he does have the highest number of fumbles per game in the "against opponents w/ a winning record category" which certainly is not a good thing. Either way, none of the analysis has changed, other than a new block about fumbles, such as Matt Stafford having nearly 4x as many fumbles in tougher games!
EDIT 3: Someone helped me understand that the percent changes were calculated slightly wrong. I've since updated that table. Fortunately it didn't change the rankings at all, so the analysis isn't wrong, but I just wanted to update the table.

TL;DR

Kirk Cousins, when ranked against his peers, is decidedly average in his performance decrease against teams with a winning record as opposed to being terrible as the narrative states. Phillip Rivers is the worst and Ben Roethlisberger is the best in their performance decrease when playing against teams with a winning record.

Intro

Hey everyone. This is my first real post anywhere on Reddit with any sort of depth to it. But I've been itching and yearning to put some sort of OC out there for football as it's been a passion of mine since I was a kid and I just love the stats and the strategies and everything. This is my way of giving to a community that has provided me with so much entertainment over the years and I hope you enjoy my post.

Abstract

Earlier today, I was reading a post that attempted to take a bit more of a statistical approach to Kirk Cousins' terrible record (5-25) against winning teams. However, many analysts, professional or amateur, like to use wins to denote whether or not a Quarterback is good. Joe Montana and Tom Brady are the best ever because they win a lot, right? Sure, I would 100% agree that they're both GOAT-level QBs, but not because of their wins.
Anyways, I looked at that post and I loved the detail and depth put into it and I wanted to take a stab at it from the more selfish approach: actual QB stats against teams with a winning record compared to the QB stats against teams with a losing record. More importantly, I wanted to see how big of a drop-off the QB had when they played against good teams vs. bad teams.
Initially I was just going to do this for Kirk Cousins, post the stats and the percentages, and let everyone make their own opinions. Unfortunately, I realized that without context, the numbers were meaningless. Thus, I decided to look at his peers and see how he ranks. This would mean pulling in a lot of data to rank Kirk Cousins against his peers in the percentage of drop-off in personal performance against teams with a winning record. The final stats are actually surprising, even to me, especially when you look at some of the QBs at the bottom of the list.

Methods

So as anyone else would do, I started at pro-football-reference.com and just started pulling in stats. I pulled in full game logs for all of the QBs that I considered to be Kirk Cousins' peers (more on that later), and then pulled in all of the standings for every year I was looking at so I could denote which teams finished the season with a winning record or not. Then it was just a matter of applying that information to the raw stats and then began the analysis.
The information range I decided to look at was 2012 - 2018. This isn't arbitrary, rather, it's all of the seasons Kirk Cousins has been in the league. Arguably 2012 and 2013 should be dismissed since he didn't start that many games, but I attempted to control for that in a later restriction. I also didn't want to include more seasons because the data could be skewed by the fact that Kirk Cousins, for example, never played against the 2007 Patriots. I really wanted to control for the actual teams played as much as possible. Then I pulled in all of the QBs that were active and had played in all 7 of those seasons (even if they were injured for most/all the season). The list of QBs that ended up meeting this criteria:
I then disregarded any game where the QB had fewer than 10 pass attempts. You could argue this number should be larger or smaller, but my assumption is that at 10 pass attempts or more, the QB had a large enough sample size to have an effect on the game and we should be able to judge their performance at that point
Each QB ended up somewhere in the 80-120ish games mark for this sample which is statistically significant enough for them to be involved. Needless to say, from a purely biased narrative perspective, it's arguable that Kirk Cousins is the worst Quarterback on that list, yes? Well keep reading.
The analysis essentially was splitting their game logs into two piles: Games against teams with a winning record and Games against teams without a winning record and then averaging their stats across all games in those categories. The stats that I used were:
Then, I looked at the percentage decrease between the two. Or in other words, when each Quarterback played games against teams with a winning record, how much worse were their stats compared to when they played teams without a winning record. To make the numbers easier to look at, I then turned those into raw ranks against their peers (since there are 15 QBs in consideration, it's a simple 1-15 where 1 is the best and 15 is the worst), averaged those ranks out, ranked those averages, and what you get is a nice, solid, 1-15 rank that states the following "Where does this QB rank against their peers when playing against teams with a winning record in maintaining or exceeding their performance against teams without a winning record"

Data

All of the raw data is available in this Google Spreadsheet if you want to peruse it yourself
In the following tables, I included as much data as possible so you can draw your own conclusions based on which stats you value the most. Needless to say they shouldn't all be evenly weighted, but that became out of scope for this post.
The "Gm" column is how many more games the player played against teams without a winning record. It doesn't mean anything, but I included it because I thought it was interesting.
NOTE: The TD, Int, and TD:Int stats are all fairly misleading because we're dealing with such small numbers that a jump from .84 Interceptions to .95 Interceptions per game is a decrease of -13.27%! So take those with a grain of salt. That's really why I ranked things in the second table since it's not necessarily the raw stats, it's how they compare to each QB's peers.
Also note that if a number in the first table is positive, that means they performed better in that stat against teams with a winning record! So, for example, Tom Brady has a higher Completion Percentage, Passing Yards, and Yards per Attempt when facing better teams.
The first table is in alphabetical order, the second one is ordered by the final ranking.

Percentage Decrease From Games Against Teams w/o a Winning Record -> Games Against Teams w/ a Winning Record

Player Gm Cmp% Yds TD Int Fum TD:Int Rate Y/A AY/A
Aaron Rodgers 5 -3.13% -4.57% -8.35% -63.77% -11.36% -10.81% -6.03% -4.50% -8.08%
Alex Smith 6 -0.58% 5.45% -32.98% -30.68% -54.22% -30.15% -8.86% -2.90% -10.81%
Andrew Luck 2 -3.69% -2.08% -3.48% -2.27% 40.14% -1.48% -6.29% -7.18% -9.72%
Andy Dalton 11 -0.93% -5.64% -27.52% 21.15% -23.91% -22.05% -7.32% -5.76% -9.21%
Ben Roethlisberger 22 0.64% 4.94% 11.87% -13.27% 19.83% 15.43% -1.37% -2.03% -3.44%
Cam Newton 13 -2.34% -4.52% -22.13% -22.11% -33.46% -24.27% -10.39% -7.17% -13.38%
Drew Brees 14 -5.97% -9.68% -17.72% -26.23% 40.38% -17.89% -10.60% -8.86% -13.60%
Eli Manning 1 -2.08% -1.16% -28.83% -17.79% -31.52% -26.86% -10.16% -5.23% -13.34%
Joe Flacco 18 -2.22% 2.09% 10.20% -10.88% -52.25% 17.57% -5.24% -9.29% -11.38%
Kirk Cousins 13 -3.66% 2.74% -16.61% 1.43% -41.94% -21.51% -7.73% -8.55% -10.66%
Matt Ryan 20 -2.21% -6.20% -13.91% -40.22% -36.96% -16.44% -8.15% -5.18% -11.11%
Matt Stafford 10 -6.32% -1.42% -27.15% -4.96% -240.42% -29.37% -12.74% -7.72% -13.35%
Philip Rivers 4 -7.32% -1.48% -18.55% -42.38% 12.48% -22.21% -12.65% -6.61% -13.62%
Russell Wilson 18 -8.54% -5.69% 19.86% -3.72% -8.40% 22.59% -5.22% -13.05% -10.04%
Tom Brady 20 3.82% 3.09% -18.38% -26.06% 18.55% -20.22% -2.47% 1.60% -3.39%

Previous Table Ranked Against Peers

Player Cmp% Yds TD Int Fum TD:Int Rate Y/A AY/A Avg Rank
Ben Roethlisberger 2 2 2 7 3 3 1 2 2 2.67 1
Tom Brady 1 3 9 10 4 8 2 1 1 4.33 2
Andrew Luck 11 9 4 3 2 4 6 10 5 6.00 3
Joe Flacco 7 5 3 6 13 2 4 14 10 7.11 4
Aaron Rodgers 9 11 5 15 7 5 5 4 3 7.11 4
Russell Wilson 15 13 1 4 6 1 3 15 6 7.11 4
Andy Dalton 4 12 13 1 8 10 7 7 4 7.33 7
Kirk Cousins 10 4 7 2 12 9 8 12 7 7.89 8
Matt Ryan 6 14 6 13 11 6 9 5 9 8.78 9
Alex Smith 3 1 15 12 14 15 10 3 8 9.00 10
Eli Manning 5 6 14 8 9 13 11 6 11 9.22 11
Cam Newton 8 10 11 9 10 12 12 9 13 10.44 12
Drew Brees 12 15 8 11 1 7 13 13 14 10.44 12
Philip Rivers 14 8 10 14 5 11 14 8 15 11.00 14
Matt Stafford 13 7 12 5 15 14 15 11 12 11.56 15

Analysis

EDIT: So some of the analysis below is out of date per adding fumbles. I'm not going to update, I'm purely going to note that Matt Stafford is now in last place due to him having an astronomical 240.42% increase in fumbles per game (from .21 to .73) which makes the paragraph on him below even more appropriate. With fumbles factored in, Kirk still falls in 8th place out of 15, and his fumble rank is 12th out of 15, so his fumbles are certainly bad, but still not as bad as Joe Flacco, Alex Smith, or Matt Stafford.
OK, great, that's a lot of data. I really appreciate if you've stuck with me this far. This is obviously the point at which this objective data is going to get subjectively talked about by a random person. So if you want to just make your own conclusions from the above data, be my guest and skip the rest of this post because everything from this point on will be purely subjective, which means it's likely to be affected by my own cognitive biases.
So obviously the question I set out to answer was "Is Kirk Cousins' performance decrease against teams with a winning record worse than all of his peers?". The answer to that question is a distinct "No". He is average at worst. He has less of a drop off than QBs like Drew Brees and Matt Ryan! He actually throws less interceptions when facing better teams and only Kirk Cousins and Andy Dalton can claim that. His interceptions per game goes from 0.82 to 0.81, so it's not like it's a huge difference, but the fact of the matter is that, on average, QBs throw 18.78% more interceptions in games against better teams and he bucks that trend entirely by remaining mostly constant. And Andy Dalton's stat here is just hilarious, going from .96 interceptions per game to .76 interceptions per game, which is exactly opposite of what you'd expect.
Yards seems to be a little meaningless in this calculation and I'm tempted to throw it out entirely because usually if you're playing better teams, you're statistically more likely to lose and thus you're more likely to accrue more passing yards to make up the difference. That said, only 5 of the 15 QBs (Big Ben, Tom Brady, Joe Flacco, Kirk Cousins, and Alex Smith) threw more passing yards against better teams than worse teams, which I personally found surprising.
Tom Brady's 3.68% increase in completion percentage (65.67% against losing teams vs 66.09% against winning teams) was also an interesting statistical outlier and likely shows the difference in offensive strategy that the Patriots take on when facing better teams: more of a focus on the short and quick passing game rather than driving to push the ball down the field. Except Tom Brady also has a higher Yards per Attempt when facing better teams, and is, in fact, the only QB whose Y/A goes up in this scenario. The two stats here don't necessarily corroborate but I found it very interesting.
The fact that Big Ben tops this list surprised me at first, but after thinking about it a big more, it actually makes perfect sense. Mike Tomlin's Steelers have been constantly criticized over the years for playing up/down to their competition, losing trap games and winning games no one thought they would. Big Ben stepping up when it matters most, playing against "good" teams, makes perfect sense if you're trying to fit these stats to the narrative.
Matt Stafford is another QB constantly judged for failing in big games, and this data actually supports that. He's the 13/15 ranked QB in this scenario, and actually has the single greatest drop in average Passer Rating per game (from 96.50 to 84.21, a 14.6% decrease!). However, for some reason, the narrative has spun back to Kirk Cousins instead of Matt Stafford. I'm not going to reference his W/L record since I don't believe wins are a QB stat, and I also believe that Matt Stafford is a great QB and has provided the Lions organization with much-needed stability over the last decade. That said, these stats certainly reinforce the thought that Matt Stafford takes a fairly large step down when playing against better teams.
But here we are talking about Kirk Cousins and Matt Stafford and they're not even the worst in this category. Why don't we talk about Drew Brees and Philip Rivers? Drew Brees' Passer Rating drops from 108.17 to 96.70 (11.86% drop) and Philip Rivers drops from 103.18 to 90.13 (a 14.48% drop). Philip Rivers also goes from throwing an average of 0.74 Int/game to 1.06 Int/game (second worst behind 2004 draft buddy Eli Manning at 1.07 int/game against teams with a winning record). Drew Brees is arguably a top 5 QB of all time (he's personally in my top 5, but I know he's borderline top 5 for some people) and yet here he is having a significant statistical drop-off when facing better teams. Philip Rivers is Hall of Very Good and has the worst drop off of any QB over the last 7 seasons. Again, there are 7 QBs ranked below Kirk Cousins on this list, why don't we talk about them underperforming against teams with a winning record more?

Conclusion and Summary

So essentially, I've come to the conclusion that if you stop treating wins as a QB stat and look purely at how much worse a QB does against teams with a winning record versus teams without a winning record, Kirk Cousins is decidedly average. Truth be told, that's how I feel about him as a QB as a whole and really his whole career: decidedly average. He's never good enough to be a star, but never bad enough to be a backup. Maybe Kirk Cousins is really the new Dalton Line?
There was a lot of data here and I had a really fun time pulling these pieces together. It was interesting to see how the chips fell, with Big Ben at the top, Drew Brees and Philip Rivers at the bottom, and Kirk falling squarely in the middle. I really hope you all enjoyed reading through all of this, and I fully expect to have more OC in the future. I've been really tempted to do some video analysis for the Cowboys subreddit, but I have to buy GamePass to get the All-22 and I just haven't pulled the trigger on that. But that might be something I do as well because with the new offensive stuff going on this year, I would like to get my hands on some game film and see it for myself.
Anyways, thank you all so much, I really love this community and appreciate all that everyone does, whether they be long-winded OC or funny jokes. I hope you enjoyed this and I'll see you in the next post I make!
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2019.09.16 20:31 Polishguy00 2019 NFC Pulse Check: Week 2

Historically, only 11% of teams make the playoffs after a 0-2 start, but it's never too late to check the playoff pulse of every team. Here we go:
NFC EAST
Dallas (2-0)- Obviously, they are very much alive. The team looks complete, but they haven’t really played anybody yet. Maybe Jerry Jones is a genius for not paying Dak yet because it seems like the quarterback is playing in such a way that he is trying to force Jones to pay him $40 Million. Jones should wait out Dak for the whole season.
Philadelphia (1-1)- This team is still a great team despite a bad day for a good line in Atlanta. However, the longevity of Carson Wentz must be questioned…… again. I think it is true that Wentz brings up his receivers more than their talent makes the QB look good.
New York (0-2)- As dead as Eli Manning’s corpse. Danny Dimes is merely minutes away from playing in place of the most average quarterback to get Hall of Fame backing (in 6 years). While watching the plays available on Red Zone, I laughed out loud at a couple Eli balls thrown in the vicinity of no one. I’m old now and rarely get animated during games anymore. It’s tiring, unlike Saquon Barkley’s legs since they don’t give him enough carries. Or catches.
Washington (0-2)- The Washington Football Alliance of 53 Guys have never been that much fun to talk about. They are not good. Gruden the Younger will get fired before his brother.
NFC NORTH
Green Bay (2-0)- Perhaps the most fortunate undefeated team in the league due to play by their opponents, the Packers are as alive as the rumors that Aaron Rodgers can't work with anyone. Look, if he couldn’t make it work with a woman as hot as Ms. Munn, can he really be trusted? Still, confidence is high, and the blood is pumping, mostly because the defense seems legit.
Detroit (1-0-1)- The king of the 4th quarter, Matt Stafford returned to form from couple of years ago and engineered a comeback victory that set the standard for boring comeback victories. Anthony Lynn probably just started think about how many cookies could fit Matt Patricia’s beard and got distracted. The answer is fourteen. The faintest pulse amongst the nine undefeated teams.
Minnesota (1-1)- If the defense had played well against the Green Bay scripted plays and if Kirk Cousins didn’t give good reason for everyone to talk about his $29 Million cap hit this season with an unconscionable interception during a first and goal from the Green Bay eight. Dalvin Cook is a fantastic running back and it is nice to see him healthy. Cousins keeps this team down.
Chicago (1-1)- The defense is again at an all-time strength, but there seems to be a disconnect between Mitch Trubisky and the head coach. I think that, despite all the lip service, Mitch is not a fit for the offense outside of the billion curl calls. The game plan in Denver was so conservative that it almost seemed like punishment for the young quarterback. They have an abnormal heartbeat.
NFC SOUTH
Atlanta (1-1)- The defensive line pumped up the team as good blood pumps through the veins of a team that had a lot of questions after week one. Julio Jones made a huge play as the Falcons fortunes have turned for the better.
New Orleans (1-1)- The jugular vein has severed. The Brees injury is almost worse than the most recent blown call as a long-term revenge game by the NFL for BountyGate which indirectly led to the league paying out billions to former players. The league would much rather let those poor men die slowly in unforgettable pain.
Tampa Bay (1-1)- I still think that the Bucs have playoff chances about as high as Jameis Winston jumping on another lunchroom table and teaching Sexual Education 101 again. However, the play by the defense was much better than what most people were used to. Winston continues to make his lunchroom decision-making on the field, though. There's a pulse, but it's hard to find.
Carolina (0-2)- Blood is pumping slower than the speed it goes through Cam Newton’s repaired shoulder. It seems that he can dial up the velocity we were used to every ten throws or so and then goes back to throwing the ball as high in the air as humanly possible as if he was starting a game of “Smear the (Word Removed Due to How Society Has Changed For the Better, and I mean that, but, yeah, it rhymed with the first word and that’s what it was called in 1989).”
NFC WEST
Los Angeles (2-0)- The Rams still have blood running harder and faster than Cooper Kupp did on his 65 yard should’ve-been-called-a-touchdown catch in the third quarter of their win over the Saints. They got a scare when Aaron Donald ran down the tunnel in the second quarter, but he returned to be his usual self. In post-game interviews, they even sounded like they felt sorry for the Saints having another call go against them. With the Browns and the Bucs next up, the Rams are set up for an undefeated first quarter of the season.
San Francisco (2-0)- I put the Rams above the Niners, but they have the kind of pulse Jimmy G will have during his next date with a porn star (Google this, it happened). So, one could say the arrow is pointing up.
Seattle (2-0)- The nurse is having trouble finding the vein. First, they beat the Bengals, a team that was supposed to be a doormat at home by one point. Then, they beat the Steelers after Ben Roethlisberger tried to play with an elbow that sounds like it needs Tommy John surgery. They only won that game by two points. Are they good or have they gotten some luck so far? We probably won’t find out until week 5 against the Rams.
Arizona (0-1-1)- The last place Cardinals round out the division with the best record after the first two weeks. The team has no playoff pulse, but the live bodies of Kliff Kingsbury, Kyler Murray, David Johnson, and Larry Fitzgerald will at least keep the fans awake for most games.
AFC Comes tomorrow once their schedule for the week ends. There will be a joke about mononucleosis.
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2019.09.15 00:54 FantasyFerguson 130+ NFL Matchup Notes for This Weekend

All pulled from various sources for my weekly Pick'em article at FantasyData.com Enjoy!
San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5)
Matchup Notes:
Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) at Detroit Lions
Matchup Notes:
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3)
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Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-3.5)
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New England Patriots (-18.5) at Miami Dolphins
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Buffalo Bills (-1.5) at New York Giants
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Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4)
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Dallas Cowboys (-6) at Washington Redskins
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Arizona Cardinals at Baltimore Ravens (-13)
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Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-8.5)
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Kansas City Chiefs (-7) at Oakland Raiders
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Chicago Bears (-2.5) at Denver Broncos
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New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams (-2)
Matchup Notes:
Philadelphia Eagles (-2) at Atlanta Falcons
Matchup Notes:
Cleveland Browns (-6.5) at New York Jets
Matchup Notes:
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2019.09.14 19:28 FantasyFerguson 130+ Matchup Notes for This Weekend

San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5)
Matchup Notes:
Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) at Detroit Lions
Matchup Notes:
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3)
Matchup Notes:
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-3.5)
Matchup Notes:
New England Patriots (-18.5) at Miami Dolphins
Matchup Notes:
Buffalo Bills (-1.5) at New York Giants
Matchup Notes:
Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4)
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Dallas Cowboys (-6) at Washington Redskins
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Arizona Cardinals at Baltimore Ravens (-13)
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Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-8.5)
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Kansas City Chiefs (-7) at Oakland Raiders
Matchup Notes:
Chicago Bears (-2.5) at Denver Broncos
Matchup Notes:
New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams (-2)
Matchup Notes:
Philadelphia Eagles (-2) at Atlanta Falcons
Matchup Notes:
Cleveland Browns (-6.5) at New York Jets
Matchup Notes:
All pulled from various sources for my weekly Pick'em article at FantasyData.com Enjoy!
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2019.09.14 19:21 FantasyFerguson 130+ Matchup Notes for This Weekend

All pulled from various sources for my weekly Pick'em article at FantasyData.com Enjoy!

San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5)

Matchup Notes:

Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) at Detroit Lions

Matchup Notes:

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3)

Matchup Notes:

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-3.5)

Matchup Notes:

New England Patriots (-18.5) at Miami Dolphins

Matchup Notes:

Buffalo Bills (-1.5) at New York Giants

Matchup Notes:

Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4)

Matchup Notes:

Dallas Cowboys (-6) at Washington Redskins

Matchup Notes:

Arizona Cardinals at Baltimore Ravens (-13)

Matchup Notes:

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-8.5)

Matchup Notes:

Kansas City Chiefs (-7) at Oakland Raiders

Matchup Notes:

Chicago Bears (-2.5) at Denver Broncos

Matchup Notes:

New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams (-2)

Matchup Notes:

Philadelphia Eagles (-2) at Atlanta Falcons

Matchup Notes:

Cleveland Browns (-6.5) at New York Jets

Matchup Notes:
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2019.05.30 02:06 claball One cold hard truth for each NFL team in 2019

It’s tough to be negative on Reddit. Actually, I’ll rephrase that. It’s tough to not be ridiculed for being negative on Reddit.

It’s understandable. Every team does have reason to be optimistic about this upcoming season. Anyone who comes flying in to talk down on those positive expectations is only raining on the parade of anticipatory fans.

Personally, I hate being negative. Nothing good comes of it.

But, every year, fans can get overcome by their emotions in the lead up to the season and get blindsided by glaring weaknesses that doom a season that could have been seen from a mile away.

That’s what I’m here for. I’m here to scream “watch out!” as that golf ball is hurtling towards your head. I’m here to nudge your drink away from the edge before your elbow sends it crashing to the floor. I’m here to let you discretely know that your fly is down before you leave the bathroom.

I’m here to even things out.

Bad things happen. But, they’re less bad when you see them coming.

\There were a few teams I had a hard time hating on. The Colts, Saints, Chargers, Packers and Bears have assembled really air-tight rosters. These team’s critiques were more of a stretch than the others.*


Arizona Cardinals

David Johnson is 27 years old

I decided to kick this off with something no one can argue me on. David Johnson is 27, that is until December 16th when he’ll be 28. But we’re living in the moment here.

The reason I point this out is because it feels like we’re still waiting for him to fully unleash who he is as a player. He had a spectacular season in 2016 where he tallied over 2,000 yards from scrimmage and 20 total touchdowns. He followed that up with an unfortunate early season exit after carrying the ball just 11 times. Then, in 2018, Johnson got caught up in Mike McCoy’s web of ineptitude and didn’t look like himself.

Johnson has suffered two season-ending injuries in his short career: a sprained MCL and a dislocated wrist. In a league with only two starting running backs over age 29 (McCoy and Peterson) it’s looking like David Johnson’s career is closer to the end than the beginning.

It’s a sobering thought for one of the most entertaining running backs in the NFL. But that’s just the cold, hard truth.

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta’s pass rush won’t be any better

Most team’s are known for something. For the Cowboys it’s dominating offensive line. For the Ravens it’s a stifling secondary. For the Falcons, it’s their inability to create pressure on the quarterback.

Atlanta’s non-existent pass rush has been a known deficiency for a few years. Even in Vic Beasley’s deceptive break-out season with 15.5 sacks his overall impact wasn’t as dramatic as that number would suggest.

This season’s group is looking a lot like last season’s group. Vic Beasley and Takkarist McKinley at end. Grady Jarrett and a rotation of “J.A.G.’s” at the other DT spot. In free agency Atlanta brought back Adrian Clayborn. They did add a defensive end in the fourth round as well in John Cominsky. Conveniently enough, Cominsky’s biggest weakness is as a pass rusher. Perfect.

Without many changes on the defensive front, this unit isn’t looking improved heading into the new season. That doesn’t bode well for a top-10 offense that’s hoping to get some help from their counterpart.

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore's old-school ground and pound attack will drive them right into the ground

Lamar Jackson’s 147 rushing attempts as a rookie was 21 more than the next highest quarterback in 2018. Jackson only started seven games.

Granted, it was largely as a result of the Ravens acclimating him midseason and playing to his immediate skill-set. But, that aspect of Jackson’s game is not going anywhere. On top of that they added hard-hitting between the tackles runner Mark Ingram. Baltimore is gearing up for a “wear you down” type of offense in 2019.

That directly contradicts what literally every one of the other 31 teams are doing. Sure, the Seahawks and Cowboys will always be a run first team. However, no squad will be passing as little as the Ravens are preparing to.

This was an interesting attack for a few weeks when Jackson was making his first few starts. But that identity aged quickly. In Baltimore’s playoff game, Lamar completed less than 50% of his passes. The Chargers held their rushing attack to less than 100 total yards.

Baltimore got beat. Not terribly thanks to their elite defense. But, Los Angeles proved that this attack could be stopped if they do just one thing: Force Lamar Jackson to throw. Rushing the ball 50 times per game isn’t helping Jackson develop. That game plan could doom them this season.

Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen might be the answer, but we won’t know after this season

Quarterbacks need at least two seasons in the NFL to even begin to be judged. Josh Allen is probably going to need three.

He looked promising at times but one thing held him back: A lack of talent around him. That issue has followed them into 2019.

LeSean McCoy is back at running back and they added another 30+ name for support in Frank Gore. Zay Jones leads a receiving corps followed by John Brown, Robert Foster and Cole Beasley. Tyler Kroft was set as the dynamic young tight end until his season hit a major bump after suffering a broken foot.

Buffalo’s offensive line received some solid reinforcements with center Mitch Morse and tackle Cody Ford among other players to fill the gaps.

Oddly enough, the Bills were one of the most active teams in the offseason on offense. You can’t say they didn’t try. Unfortunately, it’s the same core group in terms of skilled position players. Josh is going to need more than a washed up running back and a drop-prone receiver to help pull the Bills out of the depths.

Carolina Panthers

Carolina is in the toughest position to make the postseason of all playoff contenders

It’s 2019, which means the Panthers are a threat again. The odd/even year theory has been pretty consistent in Charlotte.

Unfortunately, they find themselves in an uphill battle before the season has even begun. Out of division schedule aside, Carolina has more working against them than any other playoff contender.

The Saints are a favorite by many to reach the Super Bowl. The Falcons are a perennial playoff menace barring injury to key players. The Bucs are are feisty enough to be a factor. So where does that leave the Panthers?

They’re basically the unanimous third best team in this division. That puts them in play for a hotly contested Wild Card spot.

For a team that is absolutely in play for a postseason birth, they have an unusually hard journey ahead to just escape their division.

Chicago Bears

Chicago's receiving corps will hold back their offense

At a glance, Chicago’s arsenal of wide receivers is as solid as any in the league. But if you look a little closer, it could be what keeps Trubisky from taking that next step.

Let’s start with Allen Robinson. At this point in his career, it would be apt to label him a “one-year wonder”. He broke out as a sophomore for 1,400 yards and 14 touchdowns at a massive 17.5 yards per reception. Outside of 2015, though, Robinson has never topped 900 yards, six touchdowns or 14 yards per reception in a season. It’s a clear outlier that has led AR14 to being greatly overrated.

Next is the shifty duo of Taylor Gabriel and Anthony Miller. Gabriel is a niche player. He’s best as the third option in an attack and especially thrives in creating yards. Anthony Miller is entering just his second season. He’s a crafty receiver with great moves with the ball in his hands. Both are complimentary players.

Rounding out the receiver group is “Swiss Army Knife” Cordarelle Patterson and rookie Riley Ridley.

At tight end is Trey Burton. The expectations for him were sky-high after leaving Philly. But, he only averaged 10 yards per reception in 2018. His threat as a receiver appears limited on the field.

None of these players averaged more than 14 yards per reception in 2018. Matt Nagy’s system is certainly creative, but there seems to be a lack of blue-chip talent to carry the group.

Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati is wasting an elite skilled-position corps by keeping Andy Dalton

Despite vastly outplaying his draft position, Andy Dalton cannot catch a break. That’s not about to change now.

The Bengals are the most home-grown team in the NFL. They rarely dip into free agency and prioritize their own above all. This strict draft and develop plan has netted them a fantastic core of offensive playmakers. A.J. Green and Tyler Boyd may be the best receiver duo in the NFL. Joe Mixon and Giovani Bernard are a dynamic duo in the backfield. Add in John Ross and a bevy of serviceable tight ends and this offensive attack is dangerous.

Unfortunately, their biggest weakness is at the most important position.

Andy Dalton’s skill-set will never be able to take full advantage of the wealth he has at his disposal. The Bengals just wasted an opportunity to move on from Dalton as a new coaching staff moved in.

This team has the pieces to be an intimidating force in the AFC North. But as long as Dalton is behind center, they’ll be a forgotten entity.

Cleveland Browns

It will be impossible to live up to the hype

John Dorsey and Co. have been busy this offseason. They’ve watched big names leave like Kevin Zeitler, Jabrill Peppers and Jamie Collins. More importantly, Cleveland has ushered new players in like Odell Beckham, Olivier Vernon, Sheldon Richardson and Kareem Hunt.

It’s a reloaded roster that already had solid core talent. Especially after Baker Mayfield’s incredible rookie season, the hype surrounding this team has (understandably) reached nuclear levels.

With all of the conversation surrounding the Browns already this offseason with more to come, it’s going to take a lot for this team to satisfy expectations.

Usually the “winner of the offseason” isn’t a title that ages well into the season. But, last season the Rams reached the Super Bowl after adding huge names in free agency. That only adds fuel to the fire in Cleveland that this load up on talent could produce big result

It’s possible this team is dominant. But hype of a Super Bowl run could lead fans disappointed after a playoff appearance. Expectations are huge in sports. The expectations set in Cleveland are nearing unreachable levels.

Dallas Cowboys

Dallas isn't going anywhere with Jason Garrett as head coach

It seems like Jason Garrett would have to go 0-16 and get caught snorting cocaine Chris Foerster-style for Jerry Jones to fire him. Even then, it wouldn’t be too surprising if Jones just put him on the proverbial “hot seat”. Suffice it to say Jason Garrett will probably be is Dallas for a while.

As long as he is, this team isn’t going all the way. He’s the head coach version of the Dalton-scale.

Garrett is by no means a bad coach. He’s brought the Cowboys two division championships in the past three years. But, his conservative style isn’t going to shock teams like the Patriots and Rams who are constantly evolving with their innovative attacks.

The Boys will compete every season. However, if Jerry Jones’ goal is to bring the Lombari to Jerry World, he’ll have to look elsewhere at head coach.

Denver Broncos

Joe Flacco will be Case Keenum 2.0

This is definitely the least spicy take of the list. But, the Broncos brought Flacco in for a reason. They believe he’ll be an upgrade from Keenum. Upgrade? No. Downgrade? No. I’ll take the push.

At this point in his career, Joe Flacco is basically the name-brand Case Keenum. He has the flashy Super Bowl win. He had (not anymore) heated debates held around him being elite. He even (somehow) got the mega-contract from the Ravens. As a player, however, Flacco is Keenum and vice versa.

The Broncos learned from their mistake last year of not having a young stud waiting behind Keenum if all went south. This year, Drew Lock will be breathing down Joe Flacco’s neck similar to how Lamar Jackson was last season. It’s not an enviable position Flacco is in, but that’s what happens you’ve reached the point in your career when you’re only “kind of” wanted.

Detroit Lions

Matthew Stafford is the NFL’s most average quarterback

Since the introduction of the “Dalton Scale” (thanks "Around the NFL") the debate of who is a franchise quarterback and who isn’t has been a compelling one. But, that’s not what this is about. This is more focused on the most average. The 16th best quarterback in the NFL to be exact.

That player is Matthew Stafford.

Now, this isn’t to condemn Stafford. He’s a really talented player who is without a doubt a franchise quarterback. It more speaks to the insane wealth of quarterbacks in the NFL today.

I won’t go into depth about the 15 quarterbacks ahead of Stafford. Instead, explain why I think Stafford is ranked here.

Matt “Stat-Pad” Stafford has appeared in the playoffs three times and lost in the first round each time. Pretty average. He’s thrown for an average of 23 touchdowns per year. Very average. He’s won an average of seven games per season. Definition of average.

Average isn’t always bad. Also, before you come screaming in with how I’m underrating Stafford, take a second and assess the quarterbacks currently in the NFL. You might be surprised with how many great ones there are.

Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers is 35 years old

It doesn’t feel like Rodgers is the sixth oldest starter in the league but that’s where he stands. That’s saying something too because the crop of quarterbacks playing far past when most expected is a surprisingly large number.

He’s accomplished a lot in his time in the league. However, most of it has been individual awards. Apart from a Super Bowl appearance (and victory) Rodgers has two MVPs, two First-Team All-Pros and seven Pro Bowls.

For a quarterback who many consider the most talented of his time, his postseason resume isn’t as extensive as you’d expect. Eight playoff appearance in 11 years as a starter is really solid. But, he’s reached the Conference Championship just three times.

There aren’t many teams who have been carried more by a single player than the Packers. But team success is important for a quarterbacks legacy. At 35, it feels like Rodgers’ time is starting to run out.

Houston Texans

Deshaun Watson will be running for his life again

The Texans’ offensive line gave up 13 more sacks than any defense combined for in 2018. Watson was taken to the ground 65 times. That’s also more than any quarterback since Texans’ passer David Carr in 2005. It is absolutely unbelievable Deshaun Watson made it through 2018 without major injury.

So, looking forward to 2019 does Watson have reason for hope? Tentatively. Houston added two rookie starters on the offensive line in the offseason, both at tackle. They settled for Tytus Howard in the first round after Andre Dillard was sniped a pick before them. In the second round they took Max Scharping out of Northern Illinois.

Howard started 34 games while attending Alabama State. 23 of those starts were at right tackle and only 11 were at left tackle. He’s projected as a left tackle in the NFL mostly due to his athleticism. But boy is he a raw prospect. Max Scharping also needs improvement in his technique as he mans the right side

The Texans invested valuable capital in the offensive line through the draft. But, two projects at tackle likely won’t cure their woes this season.

Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis missed an opportunity to add a featured back in the offseason

The Colts’ offensive line blossomed into a unit every NFL quarterback wish he had protecting him. Not only did they hold Andrew Luck to just 21 sacks, but they asserted their dominance in the run-game.

Speaking of running... Marlon Mack is a good player. He’s an exciting, splashy back with good power and speed. But, the Colts line made Mack look good in 2018, not the other way around. This makes you wonder what a real, three-down featured back could do behind this line.

I’m not saying they should have signed Le’Veon Bell. They were right to pass on him. But, the draft offered a few low-cost backs that could have brought Indianapolis’ rushing attack to a new level. Miles Sanders in the second round. David Montgomery in the third round. Damien Harris in the third round.

The duo of Marlon Mack and Nyheim Hines is a solid one-two punch. But, it would have been fun to see a true potential star running behind the Colts’ line.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville’s offensive core is among the weakest in the league

The main attraction in Jacksonville is their star-studded defense. Not many are up to date on their offense. Allow me to refresh your memory. It stinks.

Leonard Fournette’s nagging injuries are well-documented. Even when he’s on the field, his 3.7 career YPC isn’t scaring anyone. At wide receiver is a group full of budding star... ters. Marqise Lee, Dede Westbrook, Keelan Cole, D.J. Chark and Chris Conley may illustrate the smallest difference between a team’s #1 WR and #5 WR. That’s not a good thing. Former Cowboy Geoff Swaim and rookie Josh Oliver tentatively hold down the tight end position.

It’s a stark contrast from the wealth of options new Jaguar quarterback Nick Foles had in Philly.

Foles will have to do a lot with very little if he hopes to be an upgrade from Blake Bortles.

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City will struggle to repeat as division champs

Kansas City burst onto the scene in 2018 as Patrick Mahomes helped this offense reach its full potential. Their offense was firing on all cylinders. They won their division and a playoff game in the inaugural season of the Mahomes-era.

However, thanks to their porous defense, it took Mahomes throwing for 5,000 yards ad 50 touchdowns to win even 12 games. That’s not going to happen again. Only three quarterbacks in NFL history have thrown 50 touchdowns in a single season. Odds are it won’t happen again in Mahomes’ entire career.

Their defense made some additions, but most were just replacing losses they sustained. Dee Ford, Justin Houston and Eric Berry left. Frank Clark and Tyrann Mathieu arrived. The biggest difference, however, could be new defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo.

Even still, factoring in a Mahomes regression plus an improved defense, Kansas City could break even and win 12 games again next season. That may not be enough to beat out the Chargers who also won 12 in 2018.

Los Angeles Chargers

Joey Bosa’s health will deicide if this defense is elite or not

It’s well known that quarterback is the most important position in the NFL. But what about the second most important? That honor goes to edge rushers.

Players like Khalil Mack, Von Miller, Cameron Jordan, Demarcus Lawrence and Myles Garrett are each the most important player on their team’s defense. That goes for Joey Bosa as well.

Bosa has recorded 28.5 sacks in 35 career games. Unfortunately, that’s out of a possible 48 games in three seasons. He missed nine in 2018 due to a foot injury. Having Bosa healthy for a full 16 games is huge for this defense.

He’s one of the NFL’s top defensive ends. His ability to pressure the quarterback and slow down the run game frees up other players. Los Angeles has a stacked roster, but being able to rush the passer is vital for an elite defense. All of the top defenses from 2018 had elite pass rushing presences.

Mack for Chicago, Suggs for Baltimore, Campbell for Jacksonville, Watt for Houston, Lawrence for Dallas, Flowers for New England, Hunter for Minnesota and so on.

With Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram, the Chargers have an elite pas rushing duo. The only thing that could derail that, and L.A.’s defense, is an absent Joey Bosa.

Los Angeles Rams

We’ve seen the best Jared Goff has to offer

Jared Goff is a good quarterback. Beyond that assessment, it’s fairly difficult to say exactly how good of a player Goff really is. But, one thing is for certain: He has limitations.

Goff and the Rams came up significantly short in Super Bowl 53. While it certainly took a team effort to only score three points, Goff’s personal shortcomings were on full display. His inability to read defensive adjustments was exploited by the intelligent Patriots defense. It magnified a bigger issue that’s been known for a while: Sean McVay is a big reason why Goff has been so successful.

A head coach can only do so much from the sideline on game day. It’s up to Goff to progress in the mental aspect of the game. This isn’t to say he can’t. Goff is still only 24 years old. But, it’s legitimate to ask if we’ve already seen the best from Jared Goff.

Players who are highly dependent on a system can only go so far. The Rams’ system may outgrow Jared Goff sooner rather than later.

Miami Dolphins

Josh Rosen is in no better position to succeed in Miami than he was in Arizona

You can never judge a quarterback after just one season in the NFL. That is especially true for new Dolphin Josh Rosen. To put it simply: Rosen was set up to fail in Arizona as a rookie.

It’s difficult enough to acclimate to the NFL when the situation is right. The situation in Arizona could not have been more wrong. He played behind a horrendous offensive line that gave him about two seconds to get rid of the ball. His offense was orchestrated by Mike McCoy who didn’t have an inkling of how to use their playmakers. His head coach was defensive minded and wound up getting fired after 16 games. It was a certified disaster.

Now, Josh Rosen is in Miami with hopes of a new start. Unfortunately for him, the location is new, but the situation isn’t.

Miami’s offense has a lot of the same issues as Arizona’s. A lack of reliable playmakers on offense, a depleted offensive line (outside of Laremy Tunsil) and another rookie defensive head coach. His offensive coordinator, Chad O’Shea, is also in the first coordinator gig of his career.

As well as Rosen has handled the ridiculous situation he’s been put in, it might not be getting better anytime soon.

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota isn't going anywhere with Kirk Cousins at quarterback

In 2018, Minnesota had a top-5 defense in yards allowed. They had a top-10 defense in points allow. They had a quarterback who threw for 30 touchdowns. They had two 1,000 yard receivers. Yet, they missed the playoffs after winning just eight games. What’s missing?

To put it simply: Being competitive against competitive teams.

When matching up against average to below-average defenses, Kirk Cousins doesn’t have a problem. In eight games against bottom-half defenses, Cousins threw 18 TDs to 4 INT. However, in eight games against top-half defenses, Cousins threw 12 TDs to 6 INTs.

The Vikings only won three games out of their eight matchups against defenses that rank in the top-half of the league.

Losing is a team result. But, there’s a pattern here of Kirk Cousins not playing well when tested. It’s a trait that makes it difficult to get a team past the first 17 weeks of the NFL season.

New England Patriots

New England’s lack of offensive weapons for Brady will begin to show through

People have been ridiculing the Patriots’ lack of on-paper offensive talent for years. Belicheck and Brady haven’t had a problem operating without big-name stars for a long time. Mainly because they’ve had one big name making it all work: Rob Gronkowski.

With the Hall of Fame tight end now permanently out of the picture, the post-Gronk era begins in Foxborough.

It’s now the indestructible Julian Edelman, rookie N’Keal Harry, broken Demaryius Thomas and journey-man Dontrelle Inman as the top pass-catchers for Tom.

If Brady is able to sustain the Patriots’ level of success it might be some of his greatest work ever. If not, we can’t say we’ll be surprised given the surrounding talent.

New Orleans Saints

The pressure is on to reach the Super Bowl

Stop me if you’ve heard this before: Drew Brees is nearing the end of his career. Well, he's 40 now and it only gets more true every year.

This team is more loaded than it’s been in a long time. There are virtually no holes on New Orleans’ roster. If you want to get picky you could say Ted Ginn Jr. isn’t a great #2 wideout. Or that Eli Apple doesn’t stack up against other team’s #2 cornerbacks. But, reality is, even at the weakest points of this depth chart, the Saints are a step above a vast majority of the league.

The Super Bowl window couldn’t be more wide open. But, it’s only open as long as Drew Brees is playing at an elite level.

He showed signs of slowing down at the end of 2018. But nothing drastic enough to worry about their 2019 prospects. The pressure is on to make a deep playoff run and take advantage of the “Super-Team” New Orleans finds in front of them.

New York Giants

The coaching staff will play Eli for way longer than they should

Despite picking Daniel Jones 6th overall, it doesn’t feel like the Giants will be handing him the reins anytime soon. It usually takes an injury or poor play for a rookie to supplant a veteran mid-season. If there’s two things Eli Manning is, it’s durable and consistent.

It’s going to take the Giants understanding that they’re not going anywhere significant with Eli Manning under center. NFL teams don’t make drastic quarterback changes when things are fine and that’s exactly what Big Blue has been the past couple seasons.

It wouldn’t make sense for New York to play Eli all season just because he’s under contract. But, as of now, it feels like that’s inevitable.

New York Jets

Le’Veon Bell’s days of being an elite running back are over

Le’Veon Bell just cannot stay away from controversy. After executing the most dramatic hold-out in recent memory, he’s again the subject of an intra-team squabble. This time it wasn’t his fault. Adam Gase reportedly didn’t want to spend big money on a running back in free agency.

While trying not to be too over-reactionary, this little story can’t make Bell happy. He’s secured the bag, but hasn’t secured respect in New York yet.

This isn’t to say Bell will suddenly become a bad player with with Gang Green. It’s more a “compare and contrast” situation between the Steelers and Jets. The comparisons are very few and far between.

In Pittsburgh, Bell ran behind a loaded offensive line. He had a Hall of Fame receiver keeping teams from stacking the box. He also had a Hall of Fame quarterback opening up the offense. The circumstance in New York couldn’t be any different.

The Steelers have had long-standing success with running backs in their system. Now, Bell will have to prove himself outside of that environment.

Oakland Raiders

Oakland's defense is in store for another last place finish in sacks

One of the favorite statistics to emerge from the 2018 season is the Raiders’ entire defense combining for less sacks than seven players managed individually. 13 sacks over 16 games is good enough for 17 less than the 31st team. Pretty mind-blowing.

The question is: Did they do enough to not repeat at 32nd in the league in 2019. My answer: I’m skeptical.

Oakland’s only big addition along the defensive line was with the fourth overall pick Clelin Ferrell. As far as I know, Ferrell could be the new Khalil Mack. But, if he’s literally anything less, this team will be back in the cellar for sack production.

It’s fun to crap on Gruden’s Raiders. However, this seems more realistic than just hate.

Philadelphia Eagles

Losing Nick Foles will prove to be disastrous

I’ll start off by saying it was never feasible to keep Foles long-term. He was headed out sooner or later and it ended up happening for $50 million guaranteed. That’s a number even Howie Roseman could have never made magically appear.

It’s no secret that Nick Foles has been the NFL’s most valuable backup over the past couple seasons. He’s given Philadelphia postseason relevancy and, most of all, the team’s first Super Bowl title. Carson Wentz’s injury history is extensive enough to doubt he can make it through a season. Without Foles waiting in the wings, the Eagles' season could be kaput after an injury to Wentz.

It’s as simple as this: The Eagles lost their second most valuable player. That’s a significant concern.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Antonio Brown’s absence will be a big blow to this offense

The feeling among NFL fans seems to be one of “good riddance” about Antonio Brown leaving Pittsburgh. But, we need to pump the breaks on this being just another receiver walking out of the door for the Steelers.

Pittsburgh has lost it’s fair share of star wideouts in their prime. Most recently it was Mike Wallace and Emmanuel Sanders. While Brown is no longer in his prime, his 30’s will be far better than most other wideout’s 20s.

Ben Roethlisberger and Co. are losing an elite player who opened up every level of the offense. This team looks a lot different without Brown on the field. It’s too early to label Pittsburgh’s new #1, Smith-Schuster, a star or “in over his head”. But, one thing is for certain: It will be a group effort to replace the NFL's biggest diva this season.

San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco’s poor secondary could neutralize all the work done on the front four

The 49ers’ defensive front looks awesome. DeForest Buckner, Dee Ford and Nick Bosa star as Arik Armstead and Solomon Thomas provide support. That’s five first round picks.

However, as dominating as that unit may be, the secondary is looking like the opposite. It may not matter if there is pressure on the quarterback in three seconds if the ball is already gone after two. Very little was done to improve this poor group in the offseason. Jason Verrett was added but with his extensive injury history, he can’t be counted on as a reliable member.

Elsewhere at defensive back, Richard Sherman finally began to show signs of age. Ahkello Witherspoon didn’t take the step many hoped he would and was a liability most of the season. Jimmie Ward and Jaquiski Tartt have injury history and have plateaued as below-average safeties.

It’s an uninspiring group. Wideouts should be looking forward to facing San Francisco’s defense in 2019.

Seattle Seahawks

Selecting Rashaad Penny in the first round was a massive mistake

It’s no secret that when Seattle took running back Rashaad Penny in the first round of 2018 many were perplexed. Then, after the season, that feeling of confusion turned into frustration.

Penny not only failed to win the job, but he only had the third most rushing attempts on the team (behind Chris Carson and Mike Davis). Penny already seems like the odd man out after Carson’s breakout season and with receiving specialists C.J. Prosise and J.D. McKissic on the roster. He’s definitely the most highly invested-in backup RB in the NFL.

By taking Penny 27th overall, Seattle missed on the chance to add players like Darius Leonard, Braden Smith, Will Hernandez, Donte Jackson and Jessie Bates. It was an odd move at the time and looks no better now.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay's secondary will doom this team like it did in 2018

It’s tough to win games when your defense gives up 29 points, which is exactly how many Tampa Bay yielded per game in 2018.

Frankly, their entire defense was a mess and on pace for record setting futility by a defensive unit in NFL history. But, the secondary was the most obvious weakness.

They enter 2019 with the same group plus a couple rookies. Day two picks Sean Bunting and Jamel Dean will join Vernon Hargreaves and Carlton Davis to form the most no-name corner group in the NFL. At safety, it’s up-and-comer Justin Evans and sophomore Jordan Whitehead. Tampa Bay’s four starters last year had a combined three years of starting experience between them entering the season. It’s an aggressively young corps without a player to hang their hat on.

That unproven youth doesn’t bode well for hopes of an improved group in 2019.

Tennessee Titans

Marcus Mariota is not the answer at quarterback

The Tennessee Titans have been in purgatory for what seems like decades. They’ve won three playoff games this century. The most recent victory required Mariota to miraculously complete a pass to himself for a touchdown. None of the three playoff wins have been by more than three points.

Now, Mariota can only answer for the past four seasons in Tennessee. But even in that small sample size, he’s never completed a 16-game season and has forced his backup to start meaningful games. In the games Mariota has participated in, he’s failed to pop off the screen the way you’d expect a former second overall pick to.

Mariota hasn’t thrown for more than two touchdowns in a game since 2016. You might think that’s a product of his supporting cast. But, Tennessee has drafted a top-5 receiver, 2nd round running back, had a top-10 tight end and a really solid offensive line.

What’s missing is a quarterback and the Titans might have one. But, his name isn’t Marcus Mariota.

Washington Redskins

There’s a silver lining to losing Reuben Foster for the season

Any injury, especially a season-ending one in May, is heartbreaking. It can slow down a team’s season before it’s even begun and leave the player in the unfortunate position of not being able to contribute.

With all the negativity, I’ll try to end on a bright note. While the loss of Foster is a big one, it could lift a weight off the shoulders of players and coaches to not have to endure potential questions about Foster’s questionable past during the season.

An NFL season is as mental as it is physical and we’ve seen many times before teams collapse because of happenings off the field.

Without Reuben Foster on the field this season, Washington can hopefully skip some of the unnecessary commentary about Foster’s history. It will also allow another Foster (Mason) to step into a bigger role after a nice 2018 season.
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